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GM. This is Milk Road, weβre like a slice of pizza - you can enjoy it any time of the day. Breakfast, lunch, dinner, midnight snack - doesn't matter. |
Hereβs what weβre serving up today: |
What to expect in November π Fine art meets the blockchain π€ The U.S. vs Sam Bankman-Fried: The Final Chapter βοΈ What should we research next? π€ Bitcoin turns 15 πͺ |
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WHAT TO EXPECT IN NOVEMBER π |
October Uptober was a good month for crypto. |
BTC jumped 29% ETH rose 9% Total Value Locked (TVL) on DeFi protocols increased by 8% |
Which made it the perfect time to snap a picture for my Christmas card this year⦠|
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Now for the million-dollar question: will the BTC pump continue in November? |
Well, there are two things you should know⦠|
1/ November is one of Bitcoinβs best-performing months. |
Historically speaking, Bitcoin has its highest average returns (+40%) this month. |
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Fun Fact of the Day: Bitcoin was green in September and October this year⦠|
Thatβs something thatβs only ever happened twice before. (2015 and 2016) |
The two times it happened, Bitcoin also had a green November AND a green December. Weβre hoping for a 3-peatβ¦ |
2/ Short Gamma is helping Bitcoinβs price pump |
Over the last few weeks, Iβve been hearing the same term over and over againβ¦βshort gammaβ. |
At first, I thought it was a new nickname for guys under 5β7β. (no offense to my short kings out there) |
Turns out, itβs a real thing in the investing world. And itβs been playing a big role in Bitcoinβs price increase recently. |
Hereβs an easy way to think about it: |
Investors can buy/sell options contracts for an asset (i.e. Bitcoin) whenever they want Whenever that happens, market makers (aka the entities that offer options contracts) take the opposite side of investors' trades to maintain a market-neutral portfolio This is called βgamma hedgingβ and market makers do this by buying/selling the underlying asset (i.e. BTC) as prices move |
Well, thereβs recently been a huge demand for Bitcoin call options, which has put market makers in the βshort gammaβ zone. |
This means that as prices go higher, market makers need to buy more BTC to hedge and maintain a market-neutral position. |
The result? Something called a βgamma squeezeβ. (Hint: itβs just like a short squeeze) |
Prices go up β so market makers need to buy BTC β which pushes prices higher β forcing market makers to buy more BTC β prices go even higher β leading to a happy Milk Man. |
Many believe that this is part of the reason why Bitcoin saw such a big pump last week. |
And guess what? Analysts (with much higher IQs than me) think it could happen again soon⦠|
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Iβm no mathematician butβ¦ |
A historically good month for BTC + a potential gamma squeeze = |
A green November 2023 (?). |
But weβre curious what the Roaders thinkβ¦ |
What do YOU think will happen this month? |
Green November - the gain train ain't stopping now!Red November - it's been fun but the party's ending this month! |
Click on your answer above and weβll share the results tomorrow! |
P.S. - congrats to the 69% (nice) of you Roaders who predicted October was going to be a green month. You can call Mom and tell her you were right! |
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So far, it's been right on the money. Masterworksβ 16 exits have all achieved positive returns, with recent exits delivering +17.8%, +21.5%, and +35.0% annualized net returns. |
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*Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Investing involves risk. Important Regulation A disclosures at masterworks.com/cd. |
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THE U.S. VS SAM BANKMAN-FRIED: THE FINAL CHAPTER βοΈ |
Cryptoβs trial of the century, The U.S. vs. Sam Bankman-Fried, is almost overβ¦ |
All the evidence has been presented. |
All the witnesses have been called. |
All the patience has run out. |
And weβre one step closer to getting an answer to the million-dollar questionβ¦ |
How long will Sam Bankman-Fried (formerly-known-as-SBF, or fkSBF for short) go to jail? |
Our inside sources say they saw fkSBFβs lawyer pass him a note yesterday. Hereβs what it saidβ¦ |
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So, whatβs left in the trial? There are 4 main thingsβ¦ |
1/ Both sides will make their closing arguments today. |
2/ The prosecutors (i.e. the U.S. government) will make a rebuttal case. |
3/ Then, Judge Lewis Kaplan will explain to jurors how the law applies to the seven charges against the FTX founder. |
4/ After all thatβs done, itβs in the juryβs hands to decide fkSBFβs fate on each of those seven charges. |
Milk Road Take: Thereβs still a little bit of time left but, in our eyes, itβs game over. |
fkSBFβs last hope was his testimony. It was an opportunity for: |
a) fkSBF to clear things up and help clean the dirty bed he made. |
b) the cross-examiners to mess up. (i.e. similar to O.J. Simpsonβs βthe glove doesnβt fitβ moment) |
The problem? None of that happened. |
fkSBF sh*t the bed during his multi-day testimony and the prosecutors proved the glove (aka the crime) does fit. |
Now, we wait for the jury to decide. |
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WHAT SHOULD WE RESEARCH NEXT? π€ |
There are many cool narratives happening in crypto right now. |
Too many. |
Itβs like the first time I went to a candy store as a kid... |
I walked in, saw all the candy, saw a 5-lb Hershey chocolate bar, and then fainted from all the excitement. True story. |
So instead of letting that happen again, weβre gonna let you decide what we dive into next. |
What do you want us to dive into next? |
Real-World Assets Crypto GamingTelegram BotsOther (enter your suggestion in the comments section here) |
Click on your answer above! |
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BITE-SIZED COOKIES πͺ |
Bitcoinβs white paper turned 15 years old yesterday. βGo shawty, itβs yo birthday. Weβre gonna party like itβs yo birthdayβ¦β |
Celestia (a data availability blockchain) has officially launched its new mainnet network. Say hello to the new kid on the blockchain. |
Trading giants Jane Street, Virtu Financial, Jump Trading, and Hudson River Trading are in talks with BlackRock to help launch its spot Bitcoin ETF. Talk about some powerhouses⦠|
MetaMask is partnering with security firm Blockaid to add native security alerts to its browser extension. The goal is to proactively prevent malicious transactions and protect users from scams, phishing attempts, and hacks. |
Vitalik dropped a new blog post about the Ethereum layer 2 ecosystem. βWake up, babe. V-God dropped a new banger.β |
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MILKY MEMES π€£ |
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HIT THE INBOX OF 250K+ CRYPTO INVESTORS |
Advertise with Milk Road to get your brand in front of the Who's Who of crypto. The Roaders are high-income crypto investors who are always looking for their next interesting product or tool. Get in touch today. |
What'd you think of today's edition? |
π₯π₯π₯π₯π₯ F**king greatπ₯π₯π₯ Meh, do betterπ₯ You didn't bring the heat |
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ROADER REVIEW OF THE DAY |
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VITALIK PIC OF THE DAY |
| Milk Road Images @MilkRoadImages | |
| "Wake up babe, Vitalik just dropped a new blog post about Layer 2's..." | | | Nov 1, 2023 | | | | 0 Likes 0 Retweets 0 Replies |
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DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. Please be careful and do your own research. |