June 30, 2025 4 Signs Bullish Sentiment Is Quietly Building Dear Subscriber, Crypto markets are stirring with fresh optimism. Even as Bitcoin (BTC, “A-”) and Ethereum (ETH, “A-”) continue to trade sideways, the broader sentiment turned decisively bullish last week. This shift followed a key geopolitical development: U.S. President Donald Trump announced a ceasefire between Israel and Iran. The news that geopolitical tension could wind down nudged risk-on assets upward. But this is more than a temporary move up based on headlines. I see four signs that show strong bullish sentiment has begun to build ahead of the next breakout. 1. On-Chain Whales Quietly Accumulate More Crypto BTC and ETH may not be ready to break out just yet. But the smart money is clearly getting into position now. Bitcoin long-term holders — entities holding BTC for at least six months — accumulated a record 800,000 BTC in June on a rolling 30-day basis. This is only the seventh time in history that 30-day accumulation has crossed the 750,000 BTC mark. Source: CryptoQuant, Crypto.com Click here to see full-sized image. This strong accumulation amid sideways price action signals a deep-seated "HODL" conviction among whales and long-term investors. And that is often a precursor to major price moves. 2. ETF Flows Confirm Growing Institutional Interest Crypto whales aren’t the only ones accumulating. Institutional capital is also flowing into crypto at pace. Last week, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $2.2 billion in net inflows. That’s up from $1.3 billion the previous week, marking 14 straight days of positive flows. The Ethereum ETFs weren’t left out, either. They pulled in $284 million — a 7x increase over the prior week’s $38 million! These flows suggest that institutional investors are using the current consolidation phase to accumulate strategically. 3. Adoption and Innovation Accelerate While price action on blue-chip cryptos remains muted, the industry is far from idle … Aptos (APT, “D-”) climbed 20% following the launch of Shelby, a decentralized cloud-based storage network. Crypto.com secured $120 million in insurance for its custodial assets to strengthen institutional trust. South Korea is launching a Korean won-pegged stablecoin through eight domestic banks. This will offer an alternative to USD-backed stablecoins which dominate the sector. The U.S. Federal Housing and Finance Agency has begun to explore ways to include crypto assets in mortgage risk assessments. This could be a potential game-changer for mainstream finance. The NYSE filed to list the Truth Social Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF, operated by Trump Media. Arizona passed a bill to establish a Bitcoin and Digital Assets Reserve Fund for managing seized crypto. If successful, this could possibly act as a blueprint for other states. 4. Select Coins Rally Ahead of the Blue-Chips Even as BTC and ETH consolidate, some altcoins and memecoins are showing explosive strength. Sei (SEI, “E-”) led the top 100 with a 50%+ weekly gain. Arbitrum (ARB, “C-”) surged over 30%, helped by speculation of a potential Robinhood partnership to enable European trading of U.S. stocks via crypto. Jupiter (JUP, Not Yet Rated) also posted a 30%+ rise, riding momentum from recent DeFi integrations. On the memecoin front, Useless Coin (USELESS, “E-”) — a cheeky Solana (SOL, “B”)-based token — has defied logic with a 1,600% monthly gain and 160% in the past two weeks. Its ironic branding may be its greatest strength in a meme-driven market. Meanwhile, among newer coins, Humanity (H, Not Yet Rated) stands out as its up 70% today. Built on Polygon (POL, “D-”) tech, it introduces a unique Proof-of-Humanity protocol. This uses palm recognition and zero-knowledge proofs to fight Sybil attacks while preserving privacy. Macro Outlook: Sticky Inflation, Steady Fed On the macro side, the U.S. core PCE Price Index — a key inflation gauge — rose 0.2% month-over-month and 2.7% year-over-year. That’s slightly higher than expectations. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled a continued hold on rate cuts, pending further clarity on the impact of tariffs. With only an 18% chance of a July rate cut, stable interest rates might keep crypto in a holding pattern for now. That said, they could also reduce downside volatility. For crypto, this means continued accumulation without major macro headwinds. The Bottom Line Serious momentum is building beneath the surface of the crypto market. While Bitcoin and Ethereum continue to trade in their respective ranges, the environment is anything but quiet. Long-term accumulation, select altcoin rallies, institutional flows and real-world adoption are all building pressure in the system. Whether you're trading the chop or building for the next breakout, it's clear … Bullish sentiment is back … even if the charts haven’t caught up yet. Now is the time to prepare for when they do. Best, Marija Matić |