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Situational awareness - October 29, 2018
Good Monday morning from Salt Lake City.
President Trump has only one event on his public schedule, an intelligence briefing in the morning. A schedule like that for Trump usually leads to a full Twitter day for the President. Brace yourself for news.
We're 8 days away from the 2018 midterms. There's still time to enter our 2018 Election Challenge contest. We've got a $50 Amazon gift card for the winner - http://bit.ly/2Ed4dhj
Executive summary: Spending in the 4th CD race between Love and McAdams is close to topping $10 million. President Trump and Republicans are pushing back on claims his rhetoric is at least partially to blame for a rash of violence. Republicans are expecting to lose 30 House seats this year, but that number could go higher.
TICK TOCK
The last day to register to vote online or in person is tomorrow (10/30/2018)
3 days until in-person early voting ends (11/2/2018)
8 days until the 2018 midterm elections (11/6/2018)
91 days until the first day of the 2019 Utah Legislature (1/28/2019)
138 days until the final day of the 2019 Utah Legislature (3/14/2019)
217 days until the municipal election filing period opens (6/3/2019)
221 days until the municipal election filing period ends (6/7/2019)
288 days to the 2019 Utah primary elections (8/13/2019)
372 days to the 2019 municipal elections (11/5/2019)
736 days until the 2020 presidential election (11/3/2020)
Today At Utah Policy
The cost of the Love/McAdams race approaches $10 millionBy Bryan Schott, Managing Editor The race between Republican Mia Love and Democrat Ben McAdams is already the most expensive in the short history of Utah's 4th Congressional District, and will likely top the $10 million total before all is said and done....
Bob Bernick's notebook: Does politics have a place in Utah's judicial system?By Bob Bernick, Contributing Editor On your ballot this year is a long list of Utah state judges, who by law now and then have to stand for retention election....
Guest opinion: Proposition 4's poison pill provision will make gerrymandering even worseBy Ernest Istook A poison pill is hidden inside Utah's "anti-gerrymandering" Proposition 4 on the November ballot....
'Political Insiders' say migrant caravan is a potent political issue for GOPBy Bryan Schott, Managing Editor Last week, President Trump was railing on social media and during his campaign rallies about a "migrant caravan" moving north from Honduras toward the U.S. border. Our "Political Insiders" think the issue could be a potent one for Republicans at the polls....
Enter the UtahPolicy.com 2018 Election ChallengeBy Bryan Schott, Managing Editor Enter our 2018 Election Challenge and you could win a $50 Amazon gift card....
OTHER UTAH HEADLINES
Deseret News
Pignanelli and Webb: Terrifying time of year - Halloween & elections
Greg Bell: Utah's economy needs an educated workforce
Bureau of Land Management pulls 1 million acres for oil/gas leasing
After visit to mosque, Mitt Romney says he supports Trump's travel ban, opposes restrictions based on religion
Question 1 asks Utahns if they are willing to pay more at the pump to help fund education, local roads
Balance of power: Salt Lake County Council has five seats up for election
Utah has 'heck of a lot' to share at next year's United Nations conference in Salt Lake City
Proposition 4 backers say independent redistricting commission helps voters pick their politicians
Nearly 90,000 Salt Lake County residents could see a new property tax charge next year
Salt Lake Tribune
Op-ed: Civil forfeiture is worse than its proponents proclaim
To fight high drug prices, Utah will pay for public employees to go fill prescriptions in Mexico
Mitt Romney made $22.3 million last year, according to his tax returns
Ben McAdams and Mia Love remain tied in New York Times Upshot poll, as new twist over Love's campaign financing emerges
Who's been snapping up copies of Rep. Chris Stewart's books? Chris Stewart's campaign.
Mitt Romney praises diversity, faith and fairness in visit to Utah Islamic Center
Lawmakers, advocates continue to tweak medical cannabis bill in private talks
Latest poll of potential Utah Republican candidates for 2020 governor's race shows Chaffetz, Cox remain leading contenders
Beyond the attack ads: Here are the candidates' stands on issues in the Mia Love vs. Ben McAdams race
Other
Perry, Wayne battle for Utah House seat straddling Box Elder, Weber counties (Standard-Examiner)
GOPer, Libertarian, Dem seek Utah Senate post serving Weber, Morgan counties (Standard-Examiner)
2018 Cache County Council candidates discuss issues, experiences (Logan Herald Journal)
NATIONAL HEADLINES
The man who charged into a Pittsburgh synagogue and opened fire, killing 11 people, spewed anti-Semitic vitriol on social media -
https://nyti.ms/2Q3RrDl President Trump and Republicans are denying that his attacks on political rivals and racially charged rhetoric are at least partially responsible for a rash of violence in the U.S. -
https://wapo.st/2Q1s7h9
Just hours after calling for more civility in our national discourse, President Trump ridiculed Tom Steyer, who was one of the targets of a spate of pipe bombs sent to high-profile members of the Democratic Party last week -
https://politi.co/2QalnNO
House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy posted, then later deleted, a tweet suggesting three Jewish, billionaire Democratic donors were attempting to "buy" the 2018 midterm elections -
https://cnn.it/2Q1ue4z
Americans reacted to a week of gun violence and pipe bombs along mostly partisan lines -
https://nyti.ms/2PZBQo9 House Republican leaders privately expect to lose about 30 seats in November, giving the majority to Democrats. However. unexpected scenarios could push that number higher on election night. Republicans are growing increasingly confident they will hold on to their majority in the Senate -
http://bit.ly/2Q2R6R0 President Trump will announce a major border crackdown in a speech on Tuesday. He is expected to invoke emergency powers to stop migrants from entering the U.S., saying they pose a national security threat -
https://wapo.st/2Q3CWiH A new poll shows young Americans under the age of 30 are much more likely to vote this year than they were in the 2014 and 2010 midterm elections -
https://wapo.st/2Q3S4gb Democrats in battleground seats are focusing on health care in their closing message ahead of the 2018 midterm elections -
https://nyti.ms/2Q3sBDk Republicans are mostly doubling down on the culture wars as their final pitch to voters with one week to go before the election -
http://bit.ly/2Q1mY8H Several Republicans running for Congress are making misleading claims about their positions on health care, specifically protecting preexisting conditions -
https://wapo.st/2Q4LHJd A new middle-class tax cut pushed by President Trump will likely have to wait until 2019, and then only if Republicans keep their majority in November -
https://reut.rs/2Q8vIKw If they win a majority in November, House Democrats are promising action on anti-discrimination legislation to give equal rights protections to LGBTQ individuals -
http://bit.ly/2Q3uDDA Hillary Clinton is waffling on her political future, saying she would make a decision about whether to run again in 2020. "I'd like to be president," she said at an event over the weekend -
http://bit.ly/2Q1mShl Michael Avenatti is building his team ahead of an increasingly likely presidential bid in 2020 -
https://politi.co/2PXVPUa German Chancellor Angela Merkel will step down as head of her party after almost two decades -
https://bloom.bg/2Q4JZaL
The Trump administration is auctioning off millions of acres of drilling rights and rolling back regulations, leading to a boom in fracking on public lands in the West -
https://nyti.ms/2QalclC
A fight over civil rights protections for transgender people could end up before the Supreme Court this year -
http://bit.ly/2Q2LnuN
ON THIS DAY IN HISTORY
1863 - Eighteen countries meet in Geneva and agree to form the International Red Cross
1901 - Leon Czolgosz, the assassin of President William McKinley, is executed by electrocution.
1929 - The New York Stock Exchange crashes in what is come to be known as "Black Tuesday," beginning the Great Depression.
1960 - In Louisville, Kentucky, Cassius Clay (who later takes the name Muhammad Ali) wins his first professional fight.
1969 - The first-ever computer-to-computer link is established on ARPANET, the precursor to the Internet.
1994 - A Colorado man was arrested after he sprayed the White House with bullets from an assault rifle. President Bill Clinton was inside at the time but no one was injured. The gunman was sentenced to 40 years in prison.
Policy News
Utah Foundation honors Justice Christine Durham and Union Pacific at annual luncheon Christine Durham, the former Chief Justice of the Utah Supreme Court, will be honored with Utah Foundation's Insight Award at the Foundation's Annual Luncheon on Wednesday. Union Pacific will also be recognized with the Civic Cornerstone Award....
Rep. Curtis with Utah House delegation introduces bill to designate 'Miracle Mountain' This year, Utah has battled the worst wildfire season in recent memory....
More National Headlines
Hillary 2020? 'I'd like to be president' - will decide on run after midterm election (American Mirror)
It's Bernie Sanders' world. But what's his place in it? (CNN)
#WalkAway movement urges disgruntled Democrats to leave the party behind (FOX News)
Trump points finger at media for 'division and hatred' plaguing US (The Hill)
Why Are Drugs Cheaper in Europe? (Wall Street Journal)
Businesses pose issue if Newsom becomes California governor (Associated Press)
DHS secretary: 'This caravan is not getting in' (POLITICO)
Beto O'Rourke won't 'concede' being down in the polls against Ted Cruz (Washington Examiner)
State of the Midterms: Beto O'Rourke seeks to capitalize on endorsements, as governor's races shift right (FOX News)
Trump's new tax cut plan probably waits for 2019: lawmaker (Reuters)
Billionaires Buffett, Adelson battle over Nevada ballot measure on electricity supply (FOX News)
Doubt
"Who never doubted, never half believed. Where doubt is, there truth is - it is her shadow." Ambrose Bierce
St Patrick
They say St. Patrick drove the snakes out of Ireland. I wonder if he could do that for Congress. Onelinefun
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