Will it stay cheap forever?

Good Morning Voornaam,

With just one day to go until the TreasuryONE fireside chat, you can send through some questions in advance to help the team prepare. Topics can include the rand, the global economy, macroeconomic data points and whatever else interests you in this space. Make sure you've registered here to attend tomorrow morning's chat at 9:30am and send through those questions!

If you want to get up to speed on banking (Absa and Nedbank), mining (Exxaro, Northam Platinum, Sasol and Glencore), telecoms (Vodacom and MTN), building materials (Cashbuild and Italtile) and Nampak's latest news, then Ghost Wrap will do it for you in under 7 minutes. Brought to you by Mazars, you'll find the podcast here>>>

Here's some other stuff to sink your teeth into:

  • Dominique Olivier wrote about the marketing rivalry between Burger King and McDonald's, including perhaps the cheekiest marketing campaign I've ever seen. Read it here>>>
  • Nico Katzke of Satrix looked at "smart portfolios" and how styles can be factored into ETFs. Yes, ETFs can get a lot more interesting than you may realise! Find out here>>>
  • Fedgroup looked at risk aversion in this environment and explained how its secured investment offerings can add value to a portfolio strategy in this article>>>
  • In Magic Markets, Craig Antonie of AnBro Capital Investments talked to us about "Bessie" - the European semiconductor stock that probably isn't on your radar, trading with the ticker $BESI. Learn about it here>>> a>

It doesn't get cheaper than Merafe

As your investment journey continues, you'll be exposed to companies trading on very different Price/Earnings (P/E) multiples. This valuation tool is far from perfect, but it does let us easily compare companies to quickly see just how different the valuations are. The calculation is simple: just divide the share price by full-year HEPS.

For example, KAP is trading at 6x. Impala Platinum is at roughly 4.5x. There are very strong companies on the JSE trading at over 20x. Then we have Merafe, which stubbornly trades at ridiculously low multiples, a function of the single-commodity exposure to ferrochrome.

How low is low? Well, with interim HEPS of 42 cents and a share price of R1.31, even a breakeven result in the second half of the year would put it on a P/E of 3.1x by the end of the year! To give you an idea of how lucrative this can be in dividends, the interim dividend is a yield of 15% on the current share price. One would certainly expect to see a second-half dividend to create an even higher full-year yield.

Along with the latest from Merafe, KAP and Impala Platinum, Ghost Bites includes a disposal of land by Equites, results from Grindrod and Homechoice, a business rescue update at Rebosis, numbers from Resilient and a Santam trading statement that inspired my chart of the day. There's also new s from Trustco, which includes a quote that nearly made me fall off my chair.

Curious? Of course you are. Read Ghost Bites here>>>

US Retail Sales surprise to the upside

The most significant release yesterday was US Retail Sales, which rose 0.7% in July. This was better than the market expectation of 0.4%. With the rand trading above R19.10, our currency is very sensitive to any data releases and an initial weakening after the data release thankfully improved later in the day.

It was another bright red day for commodities, which didn't do local mining counters any good at all. Brent Crude fell below $85 a barrel.

Remember to register for the fireside chat and send through your questions!

Have a great Wednesday.

Ghost Bites (Equites | Grindrod | Homechoice | Impala Platinum | KAP | Merafe | Rebosis | Resilient | Santam | Trustco)

Not all industrials are performing equally in this environment, like KAP vs. Grindrod. Look out for property news from Equites, Rebosis and Resilient, along with updates from Homechoice, Implats, Merafe, Santam and Trustco.

Factor investing. Style investing. Smart beta. Quantitative index portfolios. Different names, but with the same simple idea. Nico Katzke of Satrix explains.

Factoring in Styles in Smart Portfolios: Demystifying Quantitative Portfolios
The boring, bold and secure

There was a time when South Africa, along with other emerging markets, was considered a new frontier for growth.

The battle of Burger King vs. McDonald's is an incredible tale of marketing and product rivalry. Warning: we take no responsibility for what happens after you read this on an empty stomach.

Ghost Global: Burger wars
 

There's so much to catch up on in Ghost Wrap. Get up to speed on banking, mining, telecoms, building materials and more in this fast-paced podcast, brought to you by Mazars.

 

BESI is the semiconductor stock you've never heard of. With exciting new technology coming out of the company, Craig Antonie of AnBro Capital Investments helped put it on our radar on Magic Markets. Learn about the stock in this show.

 

Mike Finger was 10 years into building a business that had 50 employees. Despite this, it was unsellable. He spoke to me about his incredible learnings from this and how he now helps entrepreneurs sell their businesses. Founders, don't miss this!

 

Equity ETFs dominate the narrative among investors, particularly retail investors. Fixed income or bond ETFs are often ignored, which is a pity now that yields have picked up. With Siyabulela Nomoyi of Satrix, we put the spotlight on bond ETFs.

You should expect us in your inbox Monday – Friday. If you don’t receive an email, please check your spam, or junk folder and “move us” into your primary inbox to ensure you get it each morning.



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