Getting Back to Normal, For a Few Days Anyway After a decidedly abnormal 6 weeks beginning in early October, bonds began to calm down last week.  This offered some hope that the brisk volatility and selling pressure was subsiding.  With 10yr yields closing inside a 3bp range for 5 days in a row, the restoration of normality is basically confirmed.  Today's data didn't have a big impact, but we wouldn't expect it to (based on the mixed signals).  Bonds continue waiting on early December data for the next big push in one direction or the other.  The upcoming week is always a bit of a wild card due to the holiday and month-end, but the fact remains that there are no truly top tier market movers. Econ Data / EventsS&P Services PMI 57.0 vs 55.2 f'cast, 55.0 prev Consumer Sentiment71.8 vs 73.7 f'cast, 70.5 prev 1yr inflation expectations unchanged  Market Movement Recap11:29 AM stronger overnight and steadily weaker during domestic hours.  MBS unchanged and 10yr down 1.1bps at 4.409 01:39 PM Little changed from last update.  MBS up 2 ticks (.06) and 10yr down 0.9bps at 4.412 03:58 PM Super sideways, all day, but a bit stronger for MBS, now up an eighth of a point.  10yr down half a bp at 4.417.
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November 22, 2024
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MBS Commentary
Getting Back to Normal, For a Few Days Anyway After a decidedly abnormal 6 weeks beginning in early October, bonds began to calm down last week.  This offered some hope that the brisk volatility and sell... (read more)
Mortgage Rate Watch
Starting in early October, mortgage rates experienced significant volatility, meaning the average day over day change was much bigger than normal.  While the term "volatility" technically allows for larger-than-normal moves in either direction, ... (read more)
Rob Chrisman
Want a house for a dollar? Italy has them… figure out the impact on comps for appraisals! To the best of my knowledge, my cat Myrtle never lived in Italy before she was adopted, or even traveled there. Plenty of people will be traveling places during... (read more)
Mortgage Rates
MBS / Treasuries