Yen Gains BoJ Hike Speculations, Sterling Steady after Inflation Data, Dollar Awaits CPI

Action Insight Daily Report 1-15-25

Yen Gains BoJ Hike Speculations, Sterling Steady after Inflation Data, Dollar Awaits CPI

Yen's recovery gained some momentum today on as speculation over an imminent BoJ rate hike. Governor Kazuo Ueda reinforced Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino’s earlier comments, suggesting that next week’s policy meeting could bring a shift in monetary policy. The unified tone from BoJ’s leadership is seen a calculated effort to prime markets for potential action.

Overnight index swaps now indicate a 68% probability of a BoJ rate hike in January, rising to 86% by March. Positive observations by BoJ's regional branch managers on wages growth should have bolstered the confidence in BoJ’s readiness to act.

Despite this, uncertainty still lingers as BoJ policymakers await US President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration speech early next week, which may provide more concrete insights into his trade and economic policies......

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.33; (P) 157.76; (R1) 158.41; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment as sideway trading continues. Further rally is in favor as long as 156.0 support holds. On the upside, decisive break of 61.8% projection of 139.57 to 156.74 from 148.64 at 159.25 will extend the rally from 139.57 to retest 161.94 high. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, firm break of 156.01 support will confirm short term topping. Intraday bias will then be back on the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 154.46) instead.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings
Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
alt
Eurozone's Uneven Economic Recovery Means More Monetary Easing
alt
Global Market Outlook 2025: Trends, Risks, and Opportunities for Traders
alt
Sluggish Growth & Subdued Inflation Means More Bank of Canada Easing
alt
How Far Will They Go? China’s Outlook for 2025
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Money Supply M2+CD Y/Y Dec 1.30% 1.20% 1.20%
07:00 GBP CPI M/M Dec 0.30% 0.40% 0.10%
07:00 GBP CPI Y/Y Dec 2.50% 2.70% 2.60%
07:00 GBP Core CPI Y/Y Dec 3.20% 3.40% 3.50%
07:00 GBP RPI M/M Dec 0.30% 0.70% 0.10%
07:00 GBP RPI Y/Y Dec 3.50% 3.70% 3.60%
07:00 GBP PPI Input M/M Dec 0.10% 0.20% 0.00%
07:00 GBP PPI Input Y/Y Dec -1.50% -1.30% -1.90% -2.10%
07:00 GBP PPI Output M/M Dec 0.10% 0.10% 0.30% 0.40%
07:00 GBP PPI Output Y/Y Dec 0.10% 0% -0.60% -0.50%
07:00 GBP PPI Core Output M/M Dec 0.00% 0.00%
07:00 GBP PPI Core Output Y/Y Dec 1.50% 1.60%
10:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Production M/M Nov 0.30% 0.00%
13:30 CAD Manufacturing Sales M/M Nov 0.50% 2.10%
13:30 CAD Wholesale Sales M/M Nov -0.70% 1.00%
13:30 USD CPI M/M Dec 0.30% 0.30%
13:30 USD CPI Y/Y Dec 2.80% 2.70%
13:30 USD CPI Core M/M Dec 0.20% 0.30%
13:30 USD CPI Core Y/Y Dec 3.30% 3.30%
13:30 USD Empire State Manufacturing Jan -1.8 0.2
15:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -1.0M -1.0M
19:00 USD Fed's Beige Book