Dollar Softness Continues as Forex Markets Tread Calm Waters

Action Insight Daily Report 1-23-25

Dollar Softness Continues as Forex Markets Tread Calm Waters

The forex markets remain unusually quiet today, with Dollar staying soft despite multiple attempts to rebound. The greenback has only managed meaningful gains against the weaker Yen and the struggling Canadian Dollar, while failing to build momentum against other major currencies. With little in the way of significant economic data on the calendar today, trading is expected to remain subdued. However, volatility could resurface, probably just temporarily, later in the week, with BoJ’s anticipated rate hike and key PMI releases from major economies slated for Friday.

Loonie, nonetheless, could see movement today, with retail sales data due. BoC is widely expected to cut rates by 25 bps at its upcoming meeting next Wednesday, a view supported by a Reuters survey where 25 out of 31 economists forecast such a move. Additionally, median expectations point to another 25 bps cut in March, followed by a further reduction later in the year, bringing the overnight rate to 2.50%.

For USD/CAD, however, the real driver for a decisive range breakout, beyond brief jitters, would lie in developments surrounding US-Canada trade relations. The market awaits details of tariffs expected to be announced on February 1, including their scope and which products will be affected....

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4322; (P) 1.4357; (R1) 1.4412; More...

Range trading continues in USD/CAD and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise is expected as long as 1.4260 support holds. Break of 1.4516 will resume larger up trend to 1.4667/89 key resistance zone. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.4260 will turn bias to the downside for deeper pullback to 55 D EMA (now at 1.4205) and below.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Trade Balance (JPY) Dec -0.03T -0.64T -0.38T -0.39T
13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Jan 17) 220K 217K
13:30 CAD Retail Sales M/M Nov 0.20% 0.60%
13:30 CAD Retail Sales ex Autos M/M Nov 0.10% 0.10%
15:00 EUR Eurozone Consumer Confidence Jan P -14 -15
15:30 USD Natural Gas Storage -270B -258B
16:00 USD Crude Oil Inventories -0.1M -2.0M