Sentiment Still Weak Despite Big U-Turn in US Stocks, Dollar Firm With Yen
Action Insight Daily Report 1-25-22

Sentiment Still Weak Despite Big U-Turn in US Stocks, Dollar Firm With Yen

US stocks staged a strong comeback overnight, with DOW staging the first-ever 1000-point-plus intraday U-turn. It's down -1100 pts at initially trading but closed up 11 pts eventually. Yet, risk-off sentiment remains dominant in Asia. Dollar is currently the strongest, followed by Yen. Sterling is the worst performer, followed by Kiwi and Loonie. Aussie managed to pare back some losses after much stronger than expected consumer inflation reading. Overall, sentiment would remain vulnerable on developments surrounding Ukraine.

Technically, we'll keep our eyes on EUR/USD, USD/CHF and USD/JPY, which are still range bound. We're talking about 1.1284/1482 in EUR/USD, 0.9090/9276 in USD/CHF and 113.47/115.05 in USD/JPY. The breakouts will reveal much about the underlying dynamics in both Dollar and Yen.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is down -1.82%. Hong Kong HSI is down -1.32%. China Shanghai SSE is down -1.12%. Singapore Strait Times is down -1.04%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is down -0.005 at 0.134. Overnight, DOW rose 0.29%. S&P 500 rose 0.28%. NASDAQ rose 0.63%. 10-year yield dropped -0.012 to 1.735.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.96; (P) 153.73; (R1) 154.54; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside as fall from 157.74 is in progress. Such decline is seen as the third leg of the consolidative pattern from 158.19. Deeper fall would be seen to 148.94 support next. On the upside, above 155.38 minor resistance will flip bias back to the upside for 157.74/158.19 resistance zone instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
00:30 AUD NAB Business Confidence Dec -12 12
00:30 AUD NAB Business Conditions Dec 8 12
00:30 AUD CPI Q/Q Q4 1.30% 1.00% 0.80%
00:30 AUD CPI Y/Y Q4 3.50% 3.20% 3.00%
00:30 AUD RBA Trimmed Mean CPI Q/Q Q4 1.00% 0.70% 0.70%
00:30 AUD RBA Trimmed Mean CPI Y/Y Q4 2.60% 2.40% 2.10%
07:00 GBP Public Sector Net Borrowing (GBP) Dec 14.5B 16.6B
09:00 EUR Germany IFO Business Climate Jan 94.7 94.7
09:00 EUR Germany IFO Current Assessment Jan 96.1 96.9
09:00 EUR Germany IFO Expectations Jan 93 92.6
14:00 USD S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices Y/Y Nov 17.80% 18.40%
14:00 USD Housing Price Index M/M Nov 1.00% 1.10%
15:00 USD Consumer Confidence Jan 112.3 115.8