Dollar Surges in Full Risk-Off Markets, Sentiment Destroyed by Fed Powell
Action Insight Daily Report 1-27-22

Dollar Surges in Full Risk-Off Markets, Sentiment Destroyed by Fed Powell

Investor sentiment was basically destroyed by more hawkish than expected Fed Chair Jerome Powell. US stocks reversed earlier gains and closed mixed. But futures are already pointing to a gap down open today. Major Asia indexes are trading in deep red. Markets are now expecting as many as five rate hikes this year starting March.

In the currency markets, Dollar is currently the strongest one for the week, followed by Yen. New Zealand Dollar is the worst, followed by Aussie. Canadian Dollar is just mixed as partly support by BoC hike expectations and rally in oil prices. European majors are mixed for now.

Technically, focus is quickly back on 1.1185 low in EUR/USD. Firm break there will confirm resumption of larger down trend from 1.2348. At the same time, we'll monitor the momentum of some Dollar pairs towards corresponding level. They 1.3158 low in GBP/USD, 0.6992 low in AUD/USD, and 1.2963 high in USD/CAD. By the way, NZD/USD has broken equivalent level of 0.6700 earlier this week already.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is down -3.02%. Hong Kong HSI is down -2.54%. China Shanghai SSE is down -1.20%. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.36%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is up 0.0162 at 0.156. Overnight, DOW dropped -0.38%. S&P 500 dropped -0.15%. NASDAQ rose 0.02%. 10-year yield rose 0.065 to 1.848.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1216; (P) 1.1263; (R1) 1.1291; More...

EUR/USD's fall from 1.1482 accelerates lower today and intraday bias remains on the downside. Firm break of 1.1185 support will resume larger down trend from 1.2348. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.1908 to 1.1185 from 1.1482 at 1.1035. On the upside, above 1.1310 minor resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside, and extend the consolidation from 1.1185 with another rise.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Technical Outlook and Review

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Fed Signals Rate Hikes are Imminent

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U.K.: Slower Growth, Faster Inflation, Gradual Tightening

Bank of Canada Leaves Rates Unchanged. Is it Less Hawkish Now?

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Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
New Zealand CPI: To Infinity and Beyond
Fed Review: Every Meeting is "Live" – We Now Expect Five Hikes This Year
BoC Holds Policy Rate at 0.25%, Removes Exceptional Forward Guidance
U.K.: Slower Growth, Faster Inflation, Gradual Tightening
Inflation Driving Up Rate Hike Bets Globally, So Why Does Dollar Remain King?
RBA to Begin Tightening in August Despite Omicron Shaving Growth in 2022 from 6.4% to 5.5%
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:45 NZD CPI Q/Q Q4 1.40% 1.20% 2.20%
21:45 NZD CPI Y/Y Q4 5.90% 5.60% 4.90%
23:30 AUD Westpac Leading Index M/M Dec 0.00% 0.10% 0.20%
00:30 AUD Import Price Index Q/Q Q4 5.80% 1.40% 5.40%
07:00 EUR Germany Gfk Consumer Confidence Feb -8 -6.8
07:00 CHF Trade Balance (CHF) Dec 5.23B 6.16B
13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Jan 21) 260K 286K
13:30 USD GDP Annualized Q4 P 5.60% 2.30%
13:30 USD GDP Price Index Q4 P 6.00% 6.00%
13:30 USD Durable Goods Orders Dec -0.50% 2.60%
13:30 USD Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation Dec 0.50% 0.90%
15:00 USD Pending Home Sales M/M Dec -0.20% -2.20%
15:30 USD Natural Gas Storage -205B -206B