Yen Dives on Surging Yields, Dollar Strong
Action Insight Daily Report 1-4-22

Yen Dives on Surging Yields, Dollar Strong

Yen selloff is the main theme in the Asian markets today, in particular as USD/JPY breaks out on the upside with acceleration. The move was fueled by strong rally in US treasury yields overnight, as well as rally in Nikkei and benchmark JGB yield. Dollar is currently the strongest one for the, reversing much of the pre-holiday decline. Commodity currencies are also slightly firmer, but we'll see if Europeans could outperform them.

Technically, in addition to Yen crosses, we'd also pay attention to EUR/USD. It was knocked off by 1.1382 resistance despite a very brief breach during illiquid holiday markets. EUR/USD could be heading back to retest 1.1185 support and break will resume larger down trend. Such development, if happens, could affirm the case that Dollar is really on the move.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is up 1.71%. Hong Kong HSI is down -0.29%. China Shanghai SSE is down -0.35%. Singapore Strait Times is up 1.22%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is up 0.0174 at 0.090. Overnight, DOW rose 0.68%. S&P 500 rose 0.64%. NASDAQ rose 1.20%. 10-year yield rose 0.116 to 1.628.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 115.08; (P) 115.22; (R1) 115.50; More...

USD/JPY rises to as high as 115.80 so far today and the strong break of 115.51 resistance confirms resumption of whole up trend from 102.58. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 61.8% projection of 109.11 to 115.51 from 112.52 at 116.47. Firm break there will target 100% projection at 118.90, which is close to 118.65 long term resistance. On the downside, break of 114.93 will turn intraday bias neutral and bring some consolidations, before staging another rally.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
00:01 GBP BRC Shop Price Index Y/Y Nov 0.80% 0.30%
00:30 JPY Manufacturing PMI Dec F 54.3 54.2 54.2
01:45 CNY Caixin Manufacturing PMI Dec 50.9 50.5 49.9
07:00 EUR Germany Retail Sales M/M Nov -0.50% -0.30%
07:30 CHF CPI M/M Dec -0.10% 0.00%
07:30 CHF CPI Y/Y Dec 1.60% 1.50%
08:55 EUR Germany Unemployment Change Dec -15K -34K
08:55 EUR Germany Unemployment Rate Dec 5.30% 5.30%
09:30 GBP Mortgage Approvals Nov 66K 67K
09:30 GBP M4 Money Supply M/M Nov 0.50% 0.60%
09:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI Dec F 57.6 57.6
13:30 CAD Industrial Product Price M/M Nov 0.90% 1.30%
13:30 CAD Raw Material Price Index Nov 0.00% 4.80%
14:30 CAD Manufacturing PMI Dec 57.2
15:00 USD ISM Manufacturing PMI Dec 60.2 61.1
15:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid Dec 79.5 82.4
15:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Employment Dec 53.3