Euro and Sterling Shrug Poor PMIs, Overall Sentiment Mixed

Action Insight Daily Report 10-25-22

Quiet Markets Await Germany Ifo and US Consumer Confidence

The Asian markets are generally quiet today, with the expectation in China. The Shanghai SSE reversed earlier losses and surged before the break, with talks of buying by the "national team". But Yuan's decline continued and hit another record low. In the forex markets, most major pairs and crosses are bounded inside yesterday's range. Today's economic calendar is relatively light, but German Ifo business climate and US consumer confidence could trigger some volatility. Nevertheless, traders might wait for rate decisions of BoC and ECB later in the week before making a committed move.

Technically, EUR/CHF is attempting to build up momentum to resume the rally from 0.9407. Sustained trading above 61.8% projection of 0.9407 to 0.9798 from 0.9641 at 0.9883 will solidify the case of medium term bottoming and target 100% projection at 1.0032. The interest there is whether EUR/CHF's rise, if happens, would result in EUR/USD breaking through 0.9998, or USD/CHF breaking through 1.0146, or both.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is up 1.23%. Hong Kong HSI is up 0.87%. China Shanghai SSE is up 0.74%. Singapore Strait Times is up 0.61%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is up 0.0002 at 0.257. Overnight, DOW rose 1.34%. S&P 500 rose 1.19%. NASDAQ rose 0.86%. 10-year yield rose 0.021 to 4.234.

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3617; (P) 1.3696; (R1) 1.3785; More...

USD/CAD is still engaging in the consolidation pattern from 1.3976 and intraday bias remains neutral. Deeper retreat might be seen but downside should be contained by 1.3501 support. On the upside, firm break of 1.3976 will target 200% projection of 1.2005 to 1.2947 from 1.2401 at 1.4285. However, firm break of 1.3501 will bring deeper correction to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3426) and possibly below.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

GBP/USD Eyes Key Upside Break Above 1.1400

Bank of Canada Preview: Will the BOC Hike Rates by 75bps?

Currency Pair of the Week: EUR/JPY

Yuan, Chinese Stocks Tumble as Economic Concerns Grow

China is Under Pressure

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
November Flashlight for the FOMC Blackout Period: Our Expectations Ahead of the November 2nd FOMC Meeting
ECB Preview - Focus on the Technicalities
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
08:00 EUR Germany IFO Business Climate Oct 84 84.3
08:00 EUR Germany IFO Current Assessment Oct 92.5 94.5
08:00 EUR Germany IFO Expectations Oct 74.9 75.2
13:00 USD S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices Y/Y Aug 15.40% 16.10%
13:00 USD Housing Price Index M/M Aug -0.30% -0.60%
14:00 USD Consumer Confidence Oct 105.6 108