Yen Steady after BoJ, Treasury Yields Extending Correction

Action Insight Daily Report 10-28-22

Yen Steady after BoJ, Treasury Yields Extending Correction

The markets are relatively quiet in Asia today. Yen is steady after BoJ stands pat as widely expected. Yet, there is some upside prospect for Yen if global benchmark yields continue to correct lower. Dollar remains the worst performer and today's PCE inflation data is unlikely to save it. Traders would more likely look beyond the data to next week's FOMC decision and guidance. There is so far no extended selloff in Euro after the post-ECB dip. Commodity currencies are firmer but lack follow through buying too.

Technically, US 10-year yield's close below 3.992 resistance turned support argues that it's already correcting the rise from 2.525 to 4.333. There is prospect of deeper pull back towards 55 day EMA (now at 3.624). If happens, that could help drag down Yen pairs, in particular USD/JPY towards 55 day EMA (now at 143.52).

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is down -0.77%. Hong Kong HSI is down -2.73%. China Shanghai SSE is down -1.25%. Singapore Strait Times is up 1.64%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is down -0.0116 at 0.242. Overnight, DOW rose 0.61%. S&P 500 dropped -0.61%. NASDAQ dropped -1.63%. 10-year yield dropped -0.078 to 3.937.

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.62; (P) 147.01; (R1) 147.80; More...

USD/JPY is extending the consolidation pattern from 151.93 and intraday bias remains neutral. Deeper pull back could be seen, but downside is expected to be contained by 38.2% retracement of 130.38 to 151.93 at 143.69 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 149.69 minor resistance will bring stronger rebound back towards 151.93 high. But upside should be limited there to continue the corrective pattern.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

USD/JPY Reaches Key Support, US GDP Improves

Cliff Notes: An Event Filled Week

Elliott Wave View: USDJPY Looking for Double Correction

CHFJPY Wave Analysis

GBPCAD Wave Analysis

Key Central Banks Preparing for Slowdown in Rate Hikes – Now Also ECB

Moderate ECB Policy Tweaks, Modest Euro Weakness

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
Moderate ECB Policy Tweaks, Modest Euro Weakness
November Flashlight for the FOMC Blackout Period: Our Expectations Ahead of the November 2nd FOMC Meeting
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:30 JPY Tokyo CPI Core Y/Y Oct 3.40% 3.20% 2.80%
23:30 JPY Unemployment Rate Sep 2.60% 2.50% 2.50%
00:30 AUD PPI Q/Q Q3 1.90% 1.50% 1.40%
00:30 AUD PPI Y/Y Q3 6.40% 6.40% 5.60%
03:00 JPY BoJ Interest Rate Decision -0.10% -0.10% -0.10%
05:30 EUR France Consumer Spending M/M Sep 1.20% 1.20% 0.00% 0.10%
05:30 EUR France GDP Q/Q Q3 P 0.20% 0.20% 0.50%
07:00 CHF KOF Leading Indicator Oct 93 93.8
08:00 EUR Germany GDP Q/Q Q3 P -0.20% 0.10%
09:00 EUR Eurozone Economic Sentiment Indicator Oct 92.5 93.7
09:00 EUR Eurozone Services Sentiment Oct 3.3 4.9
09:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Confidence Oct -2 -0.4
09:00 EUR Eurozone Consumer Confidence Oct F -27.6 -27.6
12:00 EUR Germany CPI M/M Oct P 0.60% 1.90%
12:00 EUR Germany CPI Y/Y Oct P 10.10% 10.00%
12:30 CAD GDP M/M Aug 0.00% 0.10%
12:30 USD Personal Income M/M Sep 0.30% 0.30%
12:30 USD Personal Spending Sep 0.40% 0.40%
12:30 USD PCE Price Index M/M Sep 0.50% 0.30%
12:30 USD PCE Price Index Y/Y Sep 5.80% 6.20%
12:30 USD Core PCE Price Index M/M Sep 0.50% 0.60%
12:30 USD Core PCE Price Index Y/Y Sep 5.20% 4.90%
12:30 USD Employment Cost Index Q3 1.30% 1.30%
14:00 USD Pending Home Sales M/M Sep -5.30% -2.00%
14:00 USD Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Oct F 59.8 59.8