Euro and Swiss Franc Down, Sterling Extending Rebound

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 10-3-22

Euro and Swiss Franc Down, Sterling Extending Rebound

Funds appear to be flowing out of Euro and Swiss Franc, in relatively quiet trading today. Some focuses are on the Euro-denominated bonds issued by Credit Suisse, which dropped to record lows. Investors are concerned about the Swiss bank's restructuring program, due to be announced later in the month. Euro and Franc are the worst performers, followed by Yen, while Dollar is mixed. Sterling is trying to rebound after UK Finance Minister Kwasi Kwarteng confirmed to abandons plan to scrap 45p top rate of income tax. But Aussie and Kiwi are stronger ahead of rate hikes by RBA (Tue) and RBNZ (Wed).

Technically, EUR/GBP is breaking through 0.8720 resistance turned support to indicate near term bearish reversal. But the question is whether it's translated into more upside in GBP/USD, downside in EUR/USD, or both. For now, outlook in EUR/USD isn't bullish as long as 0.9863 support turned resistance holds. Break of 0.9634 minor support will bring retest of 0.9534 low.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -0.34%. DAX is down -0.07%. CAC is down -0.27%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.134 at 1.977. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 1.07%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -0.83%. China was on holiday. Singapore Strait Times dropped -0.74%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.0079 to 0.244.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1052; (P) 1.1143; (R1) 1.1260; More...

GBP/USD's rebound from 1.0351 is in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside, Further rally would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.2292 to 1.0351 at 1.1551. On the downside, break of 1.0914 minor support will indicate that the rebound is over, and bring retest of 1.0351 low.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Tankan Large Manufacturing Index Q3 8 11 9
23:50 JPY Tankan Non-Manufacturing Index Q3 14 13 13
23:50 JPY Tankan Large Manufacturing Outlook Q3 9 11 10
23:50 JPY Tankan Non-Manufacturing Outlook Q3 11 15 13
23:50 JPY Tankan Large All Industry Capex Q3 21.50% 18.80% 18.60%
00:00 AUD TD Securities Inflation M/M Sep 0.50% -0.50%
00:30 JPY Manufacturing PMI Sep F 50.8 51 51
06:30 CHF CPI M/M Sep -0.20% 0.10% 0.30%
06:30 CHF CPI Y/Y Sep 3.30% 3.50% 3.50%
07:30 CHF SVME PMI Sep 57.1 54.6 56.4
07:45 EUR Italy Manufacturing PMI Sep 48.3 47.5 48
07:50 EUR France Manufacturing PMI Sep F 47.7 47.8 47.8
07:55 EUR Germany Manufacturing PMI Sep F 47.8 48.3 48.3
08:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Sep F 48.4 48.5 48.5
08:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI Sep 48.4 48.5 48.5
13:30 CAD Manufacturing PMI Sep 50.6 48.7
13:45 USD Manufacturing PMI Sep F 51.8 51.8
14:00 USD ISM Manufacturing PMI Sep 52.3 52.8
14:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid Sep 51.8 52.5
14:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Employment Index Sep 54.2
14:00 USD Construction Spending M/M Aug -0.30% -0.40%