Dollar Firm Ahead of NFP, Can Jobs Data Fuel Further Gains?

Action Insight Daily Report 10-4-24

Dollar Firm Ahead of NFP, Can Jobs Data Fuel Further Gains?

Dollar continues to dominate the currency markets this week, holding its position as the strongest performer as focus shifts to the upcoming non-farm payroll report from the US. Market reactions to this data will be crucial in shaping financial movements leading up to FOMC rate decision in November. If the employment figures support a standard 25bps rate cut by Fed, risk markets may respond negatively, giving a significant boost to the greenback. Dollar is attempting to reverse its third-quarter losses against major rivals, and supportive NFP data could further enhance this momentum.

Overall in the currency markets, Yen remains the weakest currency this week, influenced by diminishing expectations of a December rate hike by BoJ. Kiwi follows as the second weakest, pressured by firm expectations of a 50 bps rate cut by RBNZ next week. Sterling is the third worst performer after BoE Governor Andrew Bailey raised the possibility of aggressive rate cuts ahead. However, there is prospect for the Pound to rebound significantly if BoE Chief Economist Huw Pill sings a different tune in his speech today....

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6818; (P) 0.6853; (R1) 0.6877; More...

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral for the moment. Further rally is still in favor as long as 0.6823 resistance turned support holds. Above 0.6941 will resume the rise from 0.6348 to 100% projection of 0.6348 to 0.6823 from 0.6621 at 0.7096. However, firm break of 0.6823 will indicate rejection by 0.6941 medium term fibonacci level. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 0.6742) and possibly below.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

USD/JPY Restarts Its Rally, US Nonfarm Payrolls Report Next

Cliff Notes: Policy’s Impact Being Felt

Markups and Downs

Intraday Elliott Wave View on Gold (XAUUSD) Looking to Resume Bullish Trend

EURAUD Wave Analysis

EURCAD Wave Analysis

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
alt
Is China Circumventing U.S. Tariffs?
alt
China - Lift to GDP Forecast After Leaders Draw Line in the Sand
alt
European Central Banks Quickening Pace Of Their Monetary Easing
alt
Carry Trade to Give Way to Longer-Term Investment in Asian Growth
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
05:45 CHF Unemployment Rate M/M Sep 2.60% 2.50%
06:45 EUR France Industrial Output M/M Aug 0.40% -0.50%
08:00 EUR Italy Retail Sales M/M Aug 0.20% 0.50%
08:30 GBP Construction PMI Sep 53.1 53.6
12:30 USD Nonfarm Payrolls Sep 147K 142K
12:30 USD Unemployment Rate Sep 4.20% 4.20%
12:30 USD Average Hourly Earnings M/M Sep 0.30% 0.40%
14:00 CAD Ivey PMI Sep 50.3 48.2