Kiwi Rises after RBNZ Hike, Dollar Stay as Worst Performer

Action Insight Daily Report 10-5-22

Kiwi Rises after RBNZ Hike, Dollar Stays as Worst Performer

New Zealand Dollar rises broadly in quiet markets today, after RBNZ delivered the 50bps rate hike as widely expected, clearing the doubt that it will follow RBA and opt for a smaller hike. Dollar remains the worst performer of the week, following strong risk rebound in stock markets, while yields weakened. Yen is the second weakest, only slightly better than Dollar. Sterling is so far the winner, continuing to reverse prior deep losses while Euro and Swiss France are also firm.

Technically, a focus for now is whether Euro and Sterling could maintain upside momentum to solidify it as a trend. 4 hour RSI in EUR/JPY is dipping back from overbought region, suggesting that there may loss of upside momentum. Break of 140.35 minor support will suggest rejection by 145.62 high, to start the third leg of the consolidation pattern from there.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is up 0.36%. Hong Kong HSI is up 5.47%. Singapore Strait Times is up 0.35%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is up 0.0312 at 0.263. Overnight, DOW rose 2.80%. S&P 500 rose 3.06%. NASDAQ rose 3.34%. 10-year yield dropped -0.034 to 3.617.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9862; (P) 0.9930; (R1) 1.0055; More...

EUR/USD's rebound from 0.9534 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside. Considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, sustained break of 55 day EMA (now at 1.0022) will raise the chance of medium term bottoming at 0.9534. Further rally should then be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.1494 to 0.9534 at 1.0283. On the downside, though, break of 0.9734 minor support will bring retest of 0.9534 low instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
01:00 NZD RBNZ Interest Rate Decision 3.50% 3.50% 3.00%
06:00 EUR Germany Trade Balance (EUR) Aug 4.0B 5.4B
06:45 EUR France Industrial Output M/M Aug -0.30% -1.60%
07:45 Italy Italy Services PMI Sep 49.2 50.5
07:50 EUR France Services PMI Sep F 53 53
07:55 EUR Germany Services PMI Sep F 45.4 45.4
08:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI Sep F 50.2 48.9
08:30 GBP Services PMI Sep F 49.2 49.2
12:15 USD ADP Employment Change Sep 200K 132K
12:30 USD Trade Balance (USD) Aug -67.8B -70.6B
12:30 CAD Building Permits M/M Aug -0.80% -6.60%
12:30 CAD International Merchandise Trade (CAD) Aug 3.5B 4.1B
13:45 USD Services PMI Sep F 49.2 49.2
14:00 USD ISM Services PMI Sep 56 56.9
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -0.2M