Yen Staying in Driving Seat With Falling Yields and Mild Risk-Off Sentiment
Action Insight Daily Report 11-10-21

Yen Staying in Driving Seat With Falling Yields and Mild Risk-Off Sentiment

Falling global yields and mild risk off sentiment continue to boost Japanese Yen. On the other hand, Australian Dollar is leading other commodity currencies lower. But the forex markets are mixed elsewhere for now. Dollar and European majors are stuck in near term ranges against each other. Eyes will turn to US consumer inflation data today, and see if that could trigger breakouts in Dollar pairs.

Technically, the pull back in AUD/JPY is turning out to be deeper than expected and threatens the near term up trend at least. Focus is on 55 day EMA (now at 82.98) and sustained break there would open the case for deeper fall back to 77.88 key structural support. Nevertheless, rebound from 55 day EMA, followed by break if 84.16 minor resistance will revive near term bullishness, and bring stronger rise through 86.24 high. We'll see how the cross reacts to development in both stocks and yields ahead.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is down -0.63%. Hong Kong HSI is down -1.18%. China Shanghai SSE is down -1.20%. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.55%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is down -0.0047 to 0.061. Overnight, DOW dropped -0.31%. S&P 500 dropped -0.35%. NASDAQ dropped -0.60%. 10-year yield dropped -0.065 to 1.432.

Full Report Here

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USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 112.64; (P) 112.97; (R1) 113.20; More...

USD/JPY's fall from 114.69 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside. For now, we'd expect downside to be contained above 112.07 resistance turned support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 113.65 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 114.69. However, sustained break of 112.07 will dampen our bullish view and bring deeper fall back towards 109.11 structural support.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:30 AUD Westpac Consumer Confidence Nov 0.60% -1.50%
23:50 JPY Money Supply M2+CD Y/Y Oct 4.20% 4.30% 4.20%
01:30 CNY CPI Y/Y Oct 1.50% 1.40% 0.70%
01:30 CNY PPI Y/Y Oct 13.50% 12.00% 10.70%
07:00 EUR Germany CPI M/M Oct F 0.50% 0.50%
07:00 EUR Germany CPI Y/Y Oct F 4.50% 4.50%
09:00 EUR Italy Industrial Output M/M Sep -0.10% -0.20%
13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Nov 5) 266K 269K
13:30 USD CPI M/M Oct 0.50% 0.40%
13:30 USD CPI Y/Y Oct 5.30% 5.40%
13:30 USD CPI Core M/M Oct 0.30% 0.20%
13:30 USD CPI Core Y/Y Oct 4.00% 4.00%
15:00 USD Wholesale Inventories Sep F 1.10% 1.10%
15:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories 1.6M 3.3M
15:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 9B 63B