Sterling Firm, But Uncommitted, as Markets Await UK Cabinet Meeting on Brexit Agreement
Action Insight Daily Report 11-15-18

Sterling & Euro Firm on Brexit Progress, But Australian Dollar Steals the Show with Job Data

Both Sterling and Euro trade firmer after UK Prime Minister Theresa May got Cabinet support for her Brexit deal. But no significant technical development is seen with these two currencies yet. Instead, Australian Dollar steals the show with strong employment data. Additional support to Aussie was given by news that China has already sent response to US demand regarding trade, even though there's no detail yet. On the other hand, Dollar is leading the way down as consolidation continues, followed by Swiss France and Yen.

Technically, EUR/AUD takes the lead by breaking through 1.5575 temporary low today, resuming recent decline from 1.6357. AUD/USD might follow and challenge 0.7314 key structure support. Decisive break there will solidify the case of medium term bullish reversal. For Dollar-Europeans, despite this week's pull back, near term levels are holding well. That is, 1.1499 resistance in EUR/USD and 0.9952 support in USD/CHF are intact. Hence, Dollar remains bullish against the two. However, USD/JPY is risking near term bearish reversal ahead of 114.54/73 resistance zone. And focus is back on 112.94 minor support today.

In other markets, DOW dropped notably by -0.81% to 25080.50 overnight. S&P 500 lost -0.76% and NASDAQ fell -0.90%. Treasury yields also turned weaker with 10 year yield closed down -0.025 at 3.120. That's a major factor for Dollar's softness this week. In Asian, Nikkei trades in opposite direction with others again today, down -0.45%. Hong Kong HSI, China Shanghai SSE and Singapore Strait Times are up 0.38%, 0.72% and 0.06% respectively. WTI crude oil's recovery is losing some steam and is back below 56 handle.

Full Report Here

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EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5611; (P) 1.5653; (R1) 1.5676; More....

EUR/AUD's decline resumed after consolidation from 1.5575 entered rather quickly, dropping to as low as 1.5546 so far. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Current fall from 1.6357 should target 1.5271/5313 cluster support zone next. On the upside, though, break of 1.5693 resistance will now indicate short term bottoming. In that case, lengthier consolidation would be seen first before staging another decline.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
00:00 AUD Consumer Inflation Expectation Nov 3.60% 4.00%
00:30 AUD Employment Change Oct 32.8K 20.3K 5.6K 7.8K
00:30 AUD Unemployment Rate Oct 5.00% 5.10% 5.00%
09:30 GBP Retail Sales Inc Auto Fuel M/M Oct 0.20% -0.80%
09:30 GBP Retail Sales Inc Auto Fuel Y/Y Oct 2.80% 3.00%
09:30 GBP Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel M/M Oct 0.20% -0.80%
09:30 GBP Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel Y/Y Oct 3.30% 3.20%
10:00 EUR Eurozone Trade Balance (EUR) Sep 16.7B 16.6B
13:30 CAD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change Oct 28.8K
13:30 USD Empire State Manufacturing Nov 19.3 21.1
13:30 USD Retail Sales Advance M/M Oct 0.50% 0.10%
13:30 USD Retail Sales Ex Auto M/M Oct 0.50% -0.10%
13:30 USD Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Nov 20.7 22.2
13:30 USD Import Price Index M/M Oct 0.10% 0.50%
13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (NOV 13) 213K 214K
15:00 USD Business Inventories Sep 0.30% 0.50%
15:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 35B 65B
16:00 USD Crude Oil Inventories 2.9M 5.8M
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