Dollar Extends Rally as Focus Turns to UK and Canada CPI
Action Insight Daily Report 11-17-21

Dollar Extends Rally as Focus Turns to UK and Canada CPI

Dollar's rally extends in Asian session, with EUR/USD breaching 1.13 key support zone. Meanwhile, USD/JPY also breaks 114.86 near term top. Sterling is so far very resilient as markets await inflation data from the UK. Canadian Dollar is just mixed ahead of Canada CPI. Much volatility is likely in the day ahead. In other markets, Gold is back at around 1850 after failing rally attempt. WTI crude oil continues to defend 80 handle.

Technically, EUR/GBP is also a pair to watch ahead. Firm break of 0.8401 will resume medium term down trend towards key long term support level at 0.8276. Euro's broad based selloff could further intensify with such development. However, rebound from current level, followed by break of 0.8477 minor resistance will indicate temporary easing of selling pressure, which might be accompanied by recovery in EUR/USD and EUR/CHF.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is down -0.30%. Hong Kong HSI is down -0.26%. China Shanghai SSE is up 0.29%. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.30%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is down -0.0010 at 0.075. Overnight, DOW rose 0.15%. S&P 500 rose 0.39%. NASDAQ rose 0.76%. 10-year yield rose 0.011 to 1.634.

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1290; (P) 1.1338; (R1) 1.1366; More...

EUR/USD's fall accelerates to as low as 1.1262 so far today and intraday bias stays on the downside. Sustained break of 1.1289 long term fibonacci level will carry larger bearish implication. Next target will be 161.8% projection of 1.1908 to 1.1523 from 1.1691 at 1.1068. On the upside, above 1.1384 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1523 support turned resistance holds.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:45 NZD PPI Input Q/Q Q3 1.60% 1.70% 3.00%
21:45 NZD PPI Output Q/Q Q3 1.80% 1.40% 2.60%
23:30 AUD Westpac Leading Index M/M Oct 0.20% 0.00%
23:50 JPY Machinery Orders M/M Sep 0.00% 1.80% -2.40%
00:30 AUD Wage Price Index Q/Q Q3 0.60% 0.50% 0.40%
07:00 GBP CPI M/M Oct 0.80% 0.30%
07:00 GBP CPI Y/Y Oct 3.80% 3.10%
07:00 GBP Core CPI Y/Y Oct 3.00% 2.90%
07:00 GBP RPI M/M Oct 1.00% 0.40%
07:00 GBP RPI Y/Y Oct 5.60% 4.90%
07:00 GBP PPI Input M/M Oct 1.10% 0.40%
07:00 GBP PPI Input Y/Y Oct 11.60% 11.40%
07:00 GBP PPI Output M/M Oct 0.70% 0.50%
07:00 GBP PPI Output Y/Y Oct 6.80% 6.70%
07:00 GBP PPI Core Output M/M Oct 0.70% 0.50%
07:00 GBP PPI Core Output Y/Y Oct 6.50% 5.90%
10:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Y/Y Oct F 4.10% 4.10%
10:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Core Y/Y Oct F 2.10% 2.10%
13:30 CAD CPI M/M Oct 0.70% 0.20%
13:30 CAD CPI Y/Y Oct 4.70% 4.40%
13:30 CAD CPI Common Y/Y Oct 1.90% 1.80%
13:30 CAD CPI Median Y/Y Oct 2.90% 2.80%
13:30 CAD CPI Trimmed Y/Y Oct 3.40% 3.40%
13:30 USD Building Permits Oct 63M 1.59M
13:30 USD Housing Starts Oct 1.58M 1.56M
15:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories 1.0M 1.0M