Yen Slips Slightly as BoJ Offers No Clues on Rate Hike, Kiwi Struggles After Weak Services Data

Action Insight Daily Report 11-18-24

Yen Slips Slightly as BoJ Offers No Clues on Rate Hike, Kiwi Struggles After Weak Services Data

Yen weakened broadly during the Asian session today, as traders expressed disappointment with BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda’s remarks. Ueda repeated familiar stances on monetary policy but refrained from offering any signals regarding a December rate hike. This lack of clarity left markets unimpressed. However, the currency’s losses have been modest so far, with its direction remains closely tied to overall risk sentiment. Yen showed strength late last week, buoyed by the sharp selloff in US equity markets, where island reversal patterns emerged in S&P 500 and NASDAQ. Should this negative stock market sentiment persist, it could provide a fresh catalyst for Yen appreciation in the near term.

Meanwhile, Kiwi is facing selling pressure, ranking among the weakest performer today so far. The disappointing services index reading from New Zealand added to the currency’s challenges. Expectations are firm for RBNZ to deliver another 50pbps rate cut next week. A significant factor influencing this expectation is RBNZ’s meeting calendar, as it will not convene again until mid-February 2025. This December/January gap could prompt the central bank to frontload further easing....

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 193.21; (P) 195.83; (R1) 197.37; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays on the downside despite today's weak recovery. Prior break of 55 D EMA (now at 195.23) argues that corrective rise from 180.00 has completed with three waves up to 199.79, after hitting rising channel resistance. Further decline would be seen to 193.45 resistance turned support. Decisive break there will target 183.70 next. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 198.43 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:30 NZD Business NZ PSI Oct 46 45.7
21:45 NZD PPI Input Q/Q Q3 1.90% 1.00% 1.40%
21:45 NZD PPI Output Q/Q Q3 1.50% 0.90% 1.10%
23:50 JPY Machinery Orders M/M Sep -0.70% 1.40% -1.90%
10:00 EUR Eurozone Trade Balance (EUR) Sep 7.9B 11.0B
13:15 CAD Housing Starts Y/Y Oct 239K 224K
15:00 USD NAHB Housing Market Index Nov 42 43

Yen Slips Slightly as BoJ Offers No Clues on Rate Hike, Kiwi Struggles After Weak Services Data

Action Insight Daily Report 11-18-24

Yen Slips Slightly as BoJ Offers No Clues on Rate Hike, Kiwi Struggles After Weak Services Data

Yen weakened broadly during the Asian session today, as traders expressed disappointment with BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda’s remarks. Ueda repeated familiar stances on monetary policy but refrained from offering any signals regarding a December rate hike. This lack of clarity left markets unimpressed. However, the currency’s losses have been modest so far, with its direction remains closely tied to overall risk sentiment. Yen showed strength late last week, buoyed by the sharp selloff in US equity markets, where island reversal patterns emerged in S&P 500 and NASDAQ. Should this negative stock market sentiment persist, it could provide a fresh catalyst for Yen appreciation in the near term.

Meanwhile, Kiwi is facing selling pressure, ranking among the weakest performer today so far. The disappointing services index reading from New Zealand added to the currency’s challenges. Expectations are firm for RBNZ to deliver another 50pbps rate cut next week. A significant factor influencing this expectation is RBNZ’s meeting calendar, as it will not convene again until mid-February 2025. This December/January gap could prompt the central bank to frontload further easing....

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 193.21; (P) 195.83; (R1) 197.37; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays on the downside despite today's weak recovery. Prior break of 55 D EMA (now at 195.23) argues that corrective rise from 180.00 has completed with three waves up to 199.79, after hitting rising channel resistance. Further decline would be seen to 193.45 resistance turned support. Decisive break there will target 183.70 next. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 198.43 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

EUR/USD Eyes Recovery, But Gains May Be Capped

This Week’s Trump Trades: Key Trades for the Week of Nov 18

Key Events for the Week From November 18th

A Heavy Gold: Investors Taking Profits

Markets Weekly Outlook – PMI Data, UK Inflation and the Soft Landing Conundrum

The Weekly Bottom Line: Inflation Progress Stalls, Fed in No Hurry to Cut Rates

Weekly Economic & Financial Commentary: Inflation Redux

Canadian Inflation in Focus as BoC Considers Additional Rate Cuts

Week Ahead – Flash PMIs, UK and Canadian CPI Data Enter the Spotlight

Cliff Notes: Burgeoning Confidence

The Real Wage Overhang Hangover

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
alt
Is Trump’s Election the End of Gold’s Bull Run?
alt
RBNZ Preview: Maintaining Pace Towards the Neutral Zone
alt
Global Takeaways of the U.S. Election
alt
Markets Brace For Higher Inflation and Interest Rates Under President Trump
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:30 NZD Business NZ PSI Oct 46 45.7
21:45 NZD PPI Input Q/Q Q3 1.90% 1.00% 1.40%
21:45 NZD PPI Output Q/Q Q3 1.50% 0.90% 1.10%
23:50 JPY Machinery Orders M/M Sep -0.70% 1.40% -1.90%
10:00 EUR Eurozone Trade Balance (EUR) Sep 7.9B 11.0B
13:15 CAD Housing Starts Y/Y Oct 239K 224K
15:00 USD NAHB Housing Market Index Nov 42 43