NZD Rises after RBNZ Jumbo Rate Hike, Pressure Back on Dollar

Action Insight Daily Report 11-23-22

NZD Rises after RBNZ Jumbo Rate Hike, Pressure Back on Dollar

New Zealand Dollar rises broadly after RBNZ delivered the historical 75bps rate hike as widely expected. Yet, it's staying in near term range against the greenback. For now, Euro is following Kiwi as second strongest for the day, then Swiss Fran and Sterling. Canadian Dollar is the weakest, followed by Yen and Aussie. Apparently, Aussie is additionally dragged by selloff against Kiwi. Dollar is mixed and awaits more economic data as well as FOMC minutes, before US holiday tomorrow.

Technically, Dollar is back under some pressure, in particular against Euro and Swiss Franc. 1.0092 support in EUR/USD and 0.9680 minor resistance in USD/CHF stay intact, and keep bearish bias in Dollar. EUR/USD and USD/CHF could revisit recent levels at 1.0481 and 0.9355 respectively during the rest of the week if selloff in Dollar intensifies.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is up 0.61%. Hong Kong HSI is up 1.05%. China Shanghai SSE is up 0.33%. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.06%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is down -0.0012 at 0.245. Overnight, DOW rose 1.18%. S&P 500 rose 1.36%. NASDAQ rose 1.36%. 10-year yield dropped -0.067 to 3.758.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0259; (P) 1.0283; (R1) 1.0328; More...

EUR/USD recovered after drawing support from 4 hour 55 EMA, but stays well below 1.0481. Intraday bias remains neutral an more consolidative trading could be seen. But after all, as long as 1.0092 resistance turned support holds, further rally is still expected. On the upside, break of 1.0481 will resume the rise from 0.9534 and target 1.0609 fibonacci level. However, sustained break of 1.0092 will turn bias to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.0052) and below.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:00 AUD Manufacturing PMI Nov P 51.5 52.7
22:00 AUD Services PMI Nov P 47.2 49.3
01:00 NZD RBNZ Rate Decision 4.25% 4.25% 3.50%
08:15 EUR France Manufacturing PMI Nov P 47 47.2
08:15 EUR France Services PMI Nov P 50.6 51.7
08:30 EUR Germany Manufacturing PMI Nov P 45.2 45.1
08:30 EUR Germany Services PMI Nov P 46.4 46.5
09:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Nov P 46.5 46.4
09:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI Nov P 48.4 48.6
09:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI Nov P 45.6 46.2
09:30 GBP Services PMI Nov P 48 48.8
13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Nov 18) 224K 222K
13:30 USD Durable Goods Orders Oct 0.40% 0.40%
13:30 USD Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation Oct 0.10% -0.50%
14:45 USD Manufacturing PMI Nov P 49.8 50.4
14:45 USD Services PMI Nov P 47.7 47.8
15:00 USD Michigan Consumer Sentiment Nov F 54.7 54.7
15:00 USD New Home Sales Oct 575K 603K
15:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -2.6M -5.4M
17:00 USD Natural Gas Storage 86B 64B
19:00 USD FOMC Meeting Minutes