Dollar and Yen Stay in Consolidation, Awaiting Next Move
Action Insight Daily Report 11-30-21

Dollar and Yen Stay in Consolidation, Awaiting Next Move

Overall market sentiment is stable, with major Asian indexes mixed, following the recovery in US stocks overnight. Yen and Dollar soften slightly after turning into consolidations, but Swiss Franc is still strong. Commodity currencies are mixed with no follow through buying with the current rebound attempt. In other markets, Gold is struggling in tight range below 1800 handle. WTI crude oil is flip-flopping around 70 handle, with no momentum for a sustainable rebound.

Technically, we'll be looking at the development in both EUR/USD and USD/JPY closely. As for EUR/USD, recovery from 1.1185 remains capped below 1.1373 minor resistance, and thus keeps near term outlook bearish. However, break of 1.1373 could solidify upside momentum in Euro in crosses, in particular in EUR/GBP, EUR/CAD and EUR/AUD. Meanwhile, USD/JPY is still holding above 112.71 support. But a firm break there could prompt deeper selling in other Yen crosses.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is up 0.43%. Hong Kong HSI is down -1.09%. China Shanghai SSE is up 0.23%. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.56%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is down -0.0026 at 0.072. Overnight, DOW rose 0.68%. S&P 500 rose 1.32%. NASDAQ rose 1.88%. 10-year yield rose 0.048 to 1.530.

Full Report Here

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1263; (P) 1.1289; (R1) 1.1320; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.1185 is extending. With 1.1373 resistance intact, further decline is still in favor. On the downside, break of 1.1185 will resume the larger down trend to 161.8% projection of 1.1908 to 1.1523 from 1.1691 at 1.1068 next. However, firm break of 1.1373 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:30 JPY Unemployment Rate Oct 2.70% 2.80% 2.80%
23:50 JPY Industrial Production M/M Oct P 1.10% 1.80% -5.40%
00:00 NZD ANZ Business Confidence Nov F -16.4 -18.1
00:30 AUD Current Account Balance (AUD) Q3 23.9B 27.8B 20.5B 22.9B
00:30 AUD Private Sector Credit M/M Oct 0.50% 0.60% 0.60%
00:30 AUD Building Permits M/M Oct -12.90% -2.00% -4.30% -3.90%
01:00 CNY Manufacturing PMI Nov 50.1 49.6 49.2
01:00 CNY Non-Manufacturing PMI Nov 52.3 53 52.4
05:00 JPY Housing Starts Y/Y Oct 5.20% 4.30%
07:45 EUR France Consumer Spending M/M Oct 0.30% -0.20%
07:45 EUR France GDP Q/Q Q3 3.00% 3.00%
08:00 CHF KOF Leading Indicator Nov 109 110.7
08:55 EUR Germany Unemployment Change Nov -20K -39K
08:55 EUR Germany Unemployment Rate Nov 5.40%
10:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Y/Y Nov P 4.40% 4.10%
10:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Core Y/Y Nov P 2.30% 2.00%
13:30 CAD GDP M/M Sep 0.10% 0.40%
14:00 USD S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI Y/Y Sep 20.00% 19.70%
14:00 USD Housing Price Index M/M Sep 1.20% 1.00%
14:45 USD Chicago PMI Nov 67.2 68.4
15:00 USD Consumer Confidence Nov 110.8 113.8