CAD Falls Broadly after GDP, Markets Lag Direction Elsewhere

Action Insight Daily Report 11-30-22

Markets Cautious, Awaiting Eurozone CPI and Development in China

Overall, the forex markets are very cautious for now, awaiting the key events of the week, including Eurozone CPI flash today and US non-farm payrolls on Friday. There is no breakthrough in the unrest in China, with reports of escalation in protests in manufacturing center of Guangzhou. Yen and Dollar are now the stronger ones fro the week, followed by Euro. Canadian Dollar is the worst performer, following the selloff overnight. Sterling and Aussie are the next weakest.

Technically, EUR/CHF is worth a watch today with Eurozone CPI featured. The price actions from 0.9720 are corrective looking so far, suggesting that it's merely the second leg of the corrective pattern from 0.9953 short term top. That is, in case of further rise, upside would likely be capped by 0.9953 to bring the third leg. In case of deeper decline, some support might be seen around 0.9720 to contain downside. That is, range trading should continue for a while, unless, something substantial happens.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is down -0.37%. Hong Kong HSI is up 0.84%. China Shanghai SSE is up 0.18%. Singapore Strait Times is up 0.03%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is up 0.003 at 0.257. Overnight, DOW rose 0.01%. S&P 500 dropped -0.16%. NASDAQ dropped -0.59%. 10-year yield rose 0.045 to 3.748.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0302; (P) 1.0348; (R1) 1.0376; More...

EUR/USD is still bounded in range trading and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further rally is expected as long as 1.0222 support holds. Break of 1.0496 will resume the rise from 0.9534 to 1.0609 fibonacci level. However, firm break of 1.0222 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.0092 resistance turned support.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:45 NZD Building Permits M/M Oct -10.70% 3.80% 3.60%
23:50 JPY Industrial Production M/M Oct P -2.60% -1.80% -1.70%
00:00 NZD ANZ Business Confidence Nov -57.1 -42.7
00:01 GBP BRC Shop Price Index Y/Y Oct 7.40% 6.60%
00:30 AUD Private Sector Credit M/M Oct 0.60% 0.60% 0.70%
00:30 AUD Building Permits M/M Oct -6.00% -2.00% -5.80% -8.10%
00:30 AUD Construction Work Done Q3 2.20% 2.00% -3.80% -2.00%
01:00 CNY Manufacturing PMI Nov 48 49.2 49.2
01:00 CNY Non-Manufacturing PMI Nov 46.7 48 48.7
05:00 JPY Housing Starts Y/Y Oct -1.80% -0.50% 1.00%
07:45 EUR France Consumer Spending M/M Oct 0.70% 1.20%
07:45 EUR France GDP Q/Q Q3 0.20% 0.20%
08:00 CHF KOF Leading Indicator Nov 89.5 90.9
08:55 EUR Germany Unemployment Change Nov 10K 8K
08:55 EUR Germany Unemployment Rate Nov 5.50% 5.50%
09:00 CHF Credit Suisse Economic Expectations Nov -53.1
10:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Y/Y Nov P 10.40% 10.60%
10:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Core Y/Y Nov P 4.90% 5.00%
13:15 USD ADP Employment Change Nov 195K 239K
13:30 USD GDP Annualized Q3 P 2.60% 2.60%
13:30 USD GDP Price Index Q3 P 4.10% 4.10%
13:30 USD Wholesale Inventories Oct P 0.50% 0.60%
13:30 USD Goods Trade Balance (USD) Oct P -90.2B -92.2B
14:45 USD Chicago PMI Nov 45.4 45.2
15:00 USD Pending Home Sales M/M Oct -5.80% -10.20%
15:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -3.2M -3.7M