Stocks Surged, Dollar Mixed after Fed Tapering, BoE Next
Action Insight Daily Report 11-4-21

Stocks Surged, Dollar Mixed after Fed Tapering, BoE Next

US stocks surged to new records overnight despite Fed's tapering announcement. Positive sentiments also continued in general in Asia. Dollar remains mixed for now and traders are probably awaiting tomorrow's non-farm payroll report before taking a commitment. Focus will now turn to BoE rate decision, as Sterling is trading with an undertone.

Technically, The general pull back in major global benchmark yield is capping Yen crosses's rally attempts. But judging from the structure of the price actions, the crosses are clearly in consolations and upside breakouts are in favor, just when. We'd pay close attention to 133.44 resistance in EUR/JPY, 158.19 resistance in GBP/JPY and 93.00 resistance in CADP/JPY to gauge the timing of the breakouts.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is up 0.75%. Hong Kong HSI is up 0.27%. China Shanghai SSE is up 0.59%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is down -0.009 at 0.075. Overnight, DOW rose 0.29%. S&P 500 rose 0.65%. NASDAQ rose 1.04%. 10-year yield rose 0.030 to 1.579.

Full Report Here

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GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3632; (P) 1.3662; (R1) 1.3717; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral with current recovery, but further decline is in favor with 1.3708 minor resistance intact. Below 1.3604 will target a test on 1.3410 low. Break there will resume larger decline from 1.4280. On the upside, though, break of 1.3708 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.3833 resistance again. Decisive break of 1.3833 will re-affirm the case that corrective fall from 1.4248 has completed at 1.3410 already.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
00:00 NZD ANZ Commodity Price Oct 2.10% 1.00% 1.50%
00:30 AUD Trade Balance (AUD) Sep 12.24B 12.22B 15.08B 14.74B
07:00 EUR Germany Factory Orders M/M Sep 2.00% -7.70%
08:00 CHF SECO Consumer Climate Q4 5 8
08:45 EUR Italy Services PMI Oct 54.5 55.5
08:50 EUR France Services PMI Oct F 56.6 56.6
08:55 EUR Germany Services PMI Oct F 52.4 52.4
09:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI Oct F 54.7 54.7
09:30 GBP Construction PMI Oct F 54 52.6
10:00 EUR Eurozone PPI M/M Sep 1.90% 1.10%
10:00 EUR Eurozone PPI Y/Y Sep 15.20% 13.40%
11:30 USD Challenger Job Cuts Y/Y Oct -84.90%
12:00 GBP BoE Rate Decision 0.10% 0.10%
12:00 GBP BoE Asset Purchase Facility 875B 875B
12:00 GBP MPC Official Bank Rate Votes 0--0--9 0--0--9
12:00 GBP MPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes 0--2--7 0--2--7
12:30 CAD Trade Balance (CAD) Sep 2.3B 1.9B
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Oct 29) 277K 281K
12:30 USD Trade Balance (USD) Sep -74.5B -73.3B
12:30 USD Nonfarm Productivity Q3 P -1.50% 2.10%
12:30 USD Unit Labor Costs Q3 P 5.20% 1.30%
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 1.5B 87B