Yen Resumes Rally, Gold Eyeing Key Resistance
Action Insight Daily Report 11-9-21

Yen Resumes Rally, Gold Eyeing Key Resistance

Yen's rally resumes today while overall market sentiments are mixed. Asian stocks are treading water but US benchmark yield takes another dive. Swiss Franc is following as the second strongest for now. On the other hand, commodity currencies are trading broadly lower, as led by Aussie. Euro and Sterling are mixed. Main focuses will now turn to German ZEW economic sentiment and US PPI.

Technically, we'd pay some attention to Gold today, as it now in proximity to 1388.79 key near term resistance again. Decisive break there will finally affirm the case that whole correction from 2074.84 has completed. Stronger rally would be seen to 1916.30 resistance for confirmation. That might come together with some selloff in Dollar elsewhere, in particular against Yen. But break of 1798.67 support will indicate another rejection by 1833.79 and bring near term reversal, which could be accompanied by rebound in Dollar.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is down -0.48%. Hong Kong HSI is down -0.08%. China Shanghai SSE is down -0.02%. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.27%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is flat at 0.061. Overnight, DOW rose 0.29%. S&P 500 rose 0.09%. NASDAQ rose 0.07%. 10-year yield rose 0.044 to 1.497.

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USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 112.98; (P) 113.32; (R1) 113.57; More...

USD/JPY's pull back from 114.69 resumes by breaking 113.24 and intraday bias is mildly on the downside. While deeper fall could be seen, we'd still expect downside to be contained above 112.07 resistance turned support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 113.65 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 114.69. However, sustained break of 112.07 will dampen our bullish view and bring deeper fall back towards 109.11 structural support.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:30 JPY Labor Cash Earnings Y/Y Sep 0.20% 0.60% 0.70% 0.60%
23:50 JPY Bank Lending Y/Y Oct 0.90% 0.70% 0.60%
23:50 JPY Current Account (JPY) Sep 0.76T 0.85T 1.04T 0.88T
0:01 GBP BRC Like-For-Like Retail Sales Y/Y Oct -0.20% -0.60%
0:30 AUD NAB Business Confidence Oct 21 13 10
0:30 AUD NAB Business Conditions Oct 11 5
7:00 EUR Germany Trade Balance (EUR) Sep 14.2B 13.0B
7:45 EUR France Trade Balance (EUR) Sep -6.7B
10:00 EUR Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Nov 20.3 22.3
10:00 EUR Germany ZEW Current Situation Nov 19.4 21.6
10:00 EUR Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Nov 21
11:00 USD NFIB Business Optimism Index Oct 98.6 99.1
13:30 USD PPI M/M Oct 0.50% 0.50%
13:30 USD PPI Y/Y Oct 8.70% 8.60%
13:30 USD PPI Core M/M Oct 0.50% 0.20%
13:30 USD PPI Core Y/Y Oct 6.80%