Dollar Failed to Rally on Hawkish Powell, Aussie Rebounds after GDP
Action Insight Daily Report 12-1-21

Dollar Failed to Rally on Hawkish Powell, Aussie Rebounds after GDP

Dollar attempted for a rally overnight after hawkish comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, but momentum quickly faded. Instead, the greenback was dragged down by extended weakness in benchmark treasury yields. Overall market sentiment is stable in Asian session, helping commodity currencies rebound. Aussie is additionally lifted by better than expected GDP data. But then, any news regarding Omicron could trigger volatility again.

Technically, it looks like Aussie has at least found a temporary bottom, with AUD/USD's break of 0.7158 minor resistance. we'd keep an eye on AUD/JPY today. Break of 81.39 will bring bring stronger recovery back to 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 82.02), and possibly further to 38.2% retracement of 86.24 to 80.09 at 82.43. We'll see if overall risk sentiment could give Aussie a hand.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is up 0.84%. Hong Kong HSI is up 1.40%. China Shanghai SSE is up 0.11%. Singapore Strait Times is up 1.29%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is up 0.0087 at 0.067. Overnight, DOW dropped -1.86%. S&P 500 dropped -1.90%. NASDAQ dropped -1.55%. 10-year yield dropped -0.087 to 1.443.

Full Report Here

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AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7071; (P) 0.7121; (R1) 0.7179; More...

AUD/USD's break of 0.7158 minor resistance argues that a short term bottom might be formed at 0.7061, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias is back on the upside for stronger rebound, possibly towards 55 day EMA (now at 0.7318). In case of another fall, we'd look for support from 0.6991/7051 key support zone to bring rebound. But sustained break there will carry larger bearish implications.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:30 AUD AiG Performance of Manufacturing Index Nov 54.8 50.4
21:45 NZD Building Permits M/M Oct -2.00% -1.90% -2.00%
23:50 JPY Capital Spending Q3 1.20% 2.70% 5.30%
00:01 GBP BRC Shop Price Index Y/Y Oct 0.30% -0.40%
00:30 AUD GDP Q/Q Q3 -1.90% -2.70% 0.70%
00:30 JPY Manufacturing PMI Nov F 54.5 54.2 54.2
01:45 CNY Caixin Manufacturing PMI Nov 49.9 50.5 50.6
07:00 EUR Germany Retail Sales M/M Oct 1.00% -2.50%
07:30 CHF CPI M/M Nov -0.10% 0.30%
07:30 CHF CPI Y/Y Nov 1.40% 1.20%
08:30 CHF SVME PMI Nov 64.5 65.4
08:45 EUR Italy Manufacturing PMI Nov 61 61.1
08:50 EUR France Manufacturing PMI Nov F 54.6 54.6
08:55 EUR Germany Manufacturing PMI Nov F 57.6 57.6
09:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Nov F 58.6 58.6
09:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI Nov F 58.2 58.2
13:15 USD ADP Employment Change Nov 525K 571K
13:30 CAD Building Permits M/M Oct 0.10% 4.30%
14:30 CAD Manufacturing PMI Nov 57.7
14:45 USD Manufacturing PMI Nov F 59.1 59.1
15:00 USD ISM Manufacturing PMI Nov 61 60.8
15:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid Nov 86 85.7
15:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Employment Index Nov 52
15:00 USD Construction Spending M/M Oct 0.40% -0.50%
15:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -1.5M 1.0M
19:00 USD Fed's Beige Book