Sentiment Lifted by Fed Powell, Dollar Down While Stocks Up

Action Insight Daily Report 12-1-22

Sentiment Lifted by Fed Powell, Dollar Down While Stocks Up

Market are back in full risk-on mode after Fed Chair Jerome Powell affirmed that smaller rate hike would be delivered in December. Positive sentiment continued in Asia with China softening some of its pandemic restrictions. Dollar is in broad based selloff, followed by Canadian Dollar and Swiss Franc. Yen is currently the strongest one, responding more to falling treasury yields. Australian and New Zealand Dollar are the next strongest on positive sentiment and development in China, while Euro trails.

Technically, breaks outs are seen in AUD/USD through 0.6769 resistance and USD/JPY through 137.46 support. Now, focus will be on when EUR/USD will break through 1.0496 resistance, GBP/USD through 1.2152 resistance and USD/CHF through 0.9355 support. Also, break of 1786.83 resistance will resume the rise from 1616.51 to 61.8% projection of 1616.51 to 1786.83 from 1728.43 at 1833.73. If happens, that would be another indication of broad based Dollar weakness.

In Asia, Nikkei rose 1.01%. Hong Kong HSI is up 1.31%. China Shanghai SSE is up 0.56%. Singapore Strait Times is up 0.39%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is up 0.0075 at 0.258. Overnight, DOW rose 2.18%. S&P 500 rose 3.09%. NASDAQ rose 4.41%. 10-year yield dropped -0.045 to 3.703.

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6705; (P) 0.6753; (R1) 0.6836; More...

AUD/USD's rally resumed by breaking through 0.6796 and intraday bias is back on the upside. Next target is 0.6871 fibonacci level first. Break there will target 61.8% projection of 0.6271 to 0.6796 from 0.6641 at 0.6965. For now, near term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.6641 support holds, in case of retreat.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

Technical Outlook and Review

Crude Oil Price Regains Strength, US GDP Revised Higher To 2.9%

Powell's Brooking Institute Speech a Dovish Version of His November 2nd FOMC Press Conference

CHFJPY Wave Analysis

WTI Wave Analysis

NFP Preview: Is the Jobs Market FINALLY Slowing?

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
Euro Inflation Notes - A 'Sticky' Problem
Research US - 50 or 75bp? Fed's December Checklist
The Big Picture - Recession with Different Undercurrents
Fed Minutes Suggest a More Gradual Pace of Rate Hikes Ahead
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:30 AUD AiG Performance of Mfg Index Nov 44.7 49.6
00:30 AUD Private Capital Expenditure Q3 -0.60% 1.20% -0.30%
00:30 JPY Manufacturing PMI Nov F 49 49.4 49.4
01:45 CNY Caixin Manufacturing PMI Nov 49.4 48.6 49.2
05:00 JPY Consumer Confidence Nov 28.6 30.2 29.9
07:00 EUR Germany Retail Sales M/M Oct -0.60% 0.90%
07:30 CHF Real Retail Sales Y/Y Oct 3.30% 3.20%
07:30 CHF CPI M/M Nov 0.20% 0.10%
07:30 CHF CPI Y/Y Nov 2.60% 3.00%
08:30 CHF Manufacturing PMI Nov 53 54.9
08:45 EUR Italy Manufacturing PMI Nov 47.3 46.5
08:50 EUR France Manufacturing PMI Nov F 49.1 49.1
08:55 EUR Germany Manufacturing PMI Nov F 46.7 46.7
09:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Nov F 47.3 47.3
09:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI Nov F 46.2 46.2
10:00 EUR Eurozone Unemployment Rate Oct 6.60% 6.60%
12:30 USD Challenger Job Cuts Y/Y Nov 48.30%
13:30 CAD Labor Productivity Q/Q Q3 0.30% 0.20%
13:30 USD Personal Income M/M Oct 0.40% 0.40%
13:30 USD Personal Spending Oct 0.80% 0.60%
13:30 USD PCE Price Index M/M Oct 0.50% 0.30%
13:30 USD PCE Price Index Y/Y Oct 6.20% 6.20%
13:30 USD Core PCE Price Index M/M Oct 0.40% 0.50%
13:30 USD Core PCE Price Index Y/Y Oct 4.80% 5.10%
13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Nov 25) 245K 240K
14:30 CAD Manufacturing PMI Nov 50 48.8
14:45 USD Manufacturing PMI Nov F 47.6 47.6
15:00 USD ISM Manufacturing PMI Nov 50.5 50.2
15:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid Nov 47.3 46.6
15:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Employment Index Nov 50
15:00 USD Construction Spending M/M Oct -0.10% 0.20%
15:30 USD Natural Gas Storage -82B -80B