Markets Turn Quiet ahead of US CPI, Dollar Awaits Range Breakout
Action Insight Daily Report 12-10-21

Markets Turn Quiet ahead of US CPI, Dollar Awaits Range Breakout

The markets generally turn quiet in Asian session as markets are look forward to consumer inflation data from US. Before that UK GDP will also be a major focus. Commodity currencies, in particular Canadian Dollar, are losing much upside momentum even though they're still the strongest ones. Yen's earlier selloff also lost steam while Dollar is stabilizing. European majors are mixed with Sterling recovering some losses. We'll see how today's data would prompt the next move.

Technically, it should be about time for EUR/USD and USD/JPY to break out from their near term range. To be specific, we're taking about 1.1185/1.1382 in EUR/USD and 112.52/113.94 in USD/JPY. We're prefer to see synchronized breakout in both pairs to confirm that Dollar is taking a direction.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is down -0.53%. Hong Kong HSI is down -0.55%. China Shanghai SSE is down -0.14%. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.22%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is up 0.0053 at 0.056. Overnight DOW closed flat. S&P 500 dropped -0.72%. NASDAQ dropped -1.71%. 10-year yield dropped -0.022 to 1.487.

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1265; (P) 1.1306; (R1) 1.1333; More...

Range trading continues in EUR/USD and intraday bias remains neutral. Downside breakout is mildly in favor with 1.1382 minor resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.1185 will resume larger fall from 1.2348. Next target is 161.8% projection of 1.2265 to 1.1663 from 1.1908 at 1.0934. On the upside, however, firm break of 1.1382 resistance should confirm short term bottoming at 1.1186. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.1462).

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:30 NZD Business NZ PMI Nov 50.6 54.3
23:50 JPY PPI Y/Y Nov 9.00% 8.50% 8.00%
07:00 EUR Germany CPI M/M Nov F -0.20% -0.20%
07:00 EUR Germany CPI Y/Y Nov F 5.20% 5.20%
07:00 GBP GDP M/M Oct 0.30% 0.60%
07:00 GBP Index of Services 3M/3M Oct 1.20% 1.60%
07:00 GBP Industrial Production M/M Oct 0.20% -0.40%
07:00 GBP Industrial Production Y/Y Oct 2.20% 2.90%
07:00 GBP Manufacturing Production M/M Oct 0.10% -0.10%
07:00 GBP Manufacturing Production Y/Y Oct 1.40% 2.80%
07:00 GBP Goods Trade Balance (GBP) Oct -14.1B -14.7B
09:00 EUR Italy Industrial Output M/M Oct 0.40% 0.10%
13:30 USD CPI M/M Nov 0.70% 0.90%
13:30 USD CPI Y/Y Nov 6.80% 6.20%
13:30 USD CPI Core M/M Nov 0.50% 0.60%
13:30 USD CPI Core Y/Y Nov 4.90% 4.60%
13:30 CAD Capacity Utilization Q3 81.20% 82.00%
14:00 GBP NIESR GDP Estimate (3M) Nov 1.30% 1.00%
15:00 USD Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Dec P 68.2 67.4