Dollar's Post FOMC Rally Choked Off by Risk-On Sentiment; ECB, BoE and SNB Next
Action Insight Daily Report 12-16-21

Dollar's Post FOMC Rally Choked Off by Risk-On Sentiment; ECB, BoE and SNB Next

Dollar initially surged after Fed decided to double tapering pace and indicated there could be as many as three rate hikes next year. Nevertheless, the rally attempted was choked off by strong risk-on rally in stocks. Investors seemed to be relieved that firstly, Fed is still cautious on the developments with Omicron. Secondly, the uncertainty regarding pace of rate hike was removed. The greenback is still the strongest was for the week so far, but is kept inside last week's range except versus Yen and Canadian. Focus will turn to BoE and ECB policy decisions today. SNB will be featured too be it's more likely a non-event.

Suggested readings on Fed, ECB and BoE:

Technically, USD/JPY's break of 133.94 minor resistance is sign a progress, as rebound from 112.52 is resuming towards 115.51 high. Yet, we'd maintain that the greenback will need to move out from near term ranges to confirm it's direction. To be specific, the ranges to breakout from are 1.1185/1.3820 in EUR/USD, 1.3158/1.3351 in GBP/USD, 0.9156/0.9372 in USD/CHF and 112.52/115.51 in USD/JPY.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

Hawkish Fed Anticipates Three or More Rate Hikes Next Year
BOE Preview - Delaying Rate Hike to February 2022
ECB Preview - Phase-Out of PEPP by March as Scheduled
Central Bank Views | China Watch | Oil N' Gold | Special Topics

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 113.70; (P) 113.98; (R1) 114.33; More...

USD/JPY's rebound from 112.52 resumed by breaking 113.94 minor resistance and intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 115.51 high. Firm break there will resume whole up trend from 102.58 and target 118.65 key long term resistance. On the downside, below 113.21 minor support will now likely resume the correction from 115.51 through 112.52 support.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
Hawkish Fed Anticipates Three or More Rate Hikes Next Year
Fed Research Review: Catching Up to Reality – First Rate Hike Likely in May
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:45 NZD GDP Q/Q Q3 -3.70% -4.30% 2.80% 2.40%
21:45 NZD GDP Y/Y Q3 -0.30% -1.60% 17.40% 17.90%
22:00 AUD Manufacturing PMI Dec P 57.4 59.2
22:00 AUD Services PMI Dec P 55.1 55.7
23:50 JPY Trade Balance (JPY) Nov -0.49T -0.32T -0.44T -0.42T
0:30 AUD Employment Change Nov 366.1K 200.0K -46.3K -56.0K
0:30 AUD Unemployment Rate Nov 4.60% 5.00% 5.20%
8:15 EUR France Manufacturing PMI Dec P 55.3 55.9
8:15 EUR France Services PMI Dec P 55.6 57.4
8:30 EUR Germany Manufacturing PMI Dec P 57 57.4
8:30 EUR Germany Services PMI Dec P 51 52.7
8:30 CHF SNB Interest Rate Decision -0.75% -0.75%
9:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Dec P 57.7 58.4
9:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI Dec P 54.2 55.9
9:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI Dec P 57.6 58.1
9:30 GBP Services PMI Dec P 57.5 58.5
10:00 EUR Eurozone Trade Balance (EUR) Oct 5.7B 6.1B
12:00 GBP BoE Interest Rate Decision 0.10% 0.10%
12:00 GBP BoE Asset Purchase Facility 875B 875B
12:00 GBP MPC Official Bank Rate Votes 2--0--7 2--0--7
12:00 GBP MPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes 0--3--6 0--3--6
12:45 EUR Eurozone ECB Interest Rate Decision 0.00% 0.00%
13:30 EUR ECB Press Conference
13:30 CAD ADP Employment Change Nov 65.8K
13:30 CAD Wholesale Sales M/M Oct 1%
13:30 USD Housing Starts Nov 1.57M 1.52M
13:30 USD Building Permits Nov 1.67M 1.65M
13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Dec 10) 192K 184K
13:30 USD Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Dec 30 39
14:15 USD Industrial Production M/M Dec 0.70% 1.60%
14:15 USD Capacity Utilization Dec 76.70% 76.40%
14:45 USD Manufacturing PMI Dec P 58.3
14:45 USD Services PMI Dec P 58
15:30 USD Natural Gas Storage -59B