Dollar Strengthens Amid Trump’s Currency Warning and Biden's Last Semiconductor Crackdown on China

Action Insight Daily Report 12-2-24

Dollar Strengthens Amid Trump’s Currency Warning and Biden's Last Semiconductor Crackdown on China

Dollar started the week on strong footing, buoyed by a combination of technical factors and geopolitical developments. Technically, the greenback bounced after failing to break through near-term support level against Euro last week. Escalating political and trade tensions is giving further fuel to Dollar's rise.

Over the weekend, US President-elect Donald Trump stirred market attention with a direct demand to BRICS nations, calling for a halt to any plans for a new currency alternative to Dollar. Trump warned on social media that such moves would trigger "100% tariffs" and potentially end these nations’ ability to sell into the "wonderful US economy", underscoring his intent to preserve the "mighty US dollar" as the dominant global currency.

Adding to Dollar's momentum, reports indicate that the US is launching Biden administration's final large-scale efforts on China's semiconductor industry. According to sources cited by Reuters, the new measures include restricting exports to 140 Chinese companies, imposing curbs on shipments of high-bandwidth memory chips critical for AI training, and limiting advanced chipmaking tools and software. The initiative, targeting sectors critical to artificial intelligence and military advancements, underscores ongoing US-China trade tensions, which persist across multiple administrations....

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0548; (P) 1.0572; (R1) 1.0603; More...

EUR/USD dips mildly ahead of 1.0609 resistance, but stays well above 1.0330 support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. For now, further decline is still in favor with 1.0609 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.0330 will resume the fall from 1.1213. Also, sustained trading below 1.0404 key fibonacci level will carry larger bearish implication. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.0609 will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 1.0760 support turned resistance first

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:45 NZD Building Permits M/M Oct -5.20% 2.60% 2.40%
23:50 JPY Capital Spending Y/Y Q3 8.10% 6.70% 7.40%
00:00 AUD TD-MI Inflation Gauge M/M Nov 0.20% 0.30%
00:30 AUD Retail Sales M/M Oct 0.60% 0.40% 0.10%
00:30 AUD Building Permits M/M Oct 4.20% 2.10% 4.40% 5.80%
00:30 AUD Company Operating Profits Q/Q Q3 -4.60% 0.80% -5.30% -6.80%
00:30 JPY Manufacturing PMI Nov F 49 49 49
01:45 CNY Caixin Manufacturing PMI Nov 51.5 50.5 50.3
07:30 CHF Real Retail Sales Y/Y Oct 2.70% 2.20%
08:30 CHF Manufacturing PMI Nov 49.5 49.9
08:50 EUR France Manufacturing PMI Nov 43.2 43.2
08:55 EUR Germany Manufacturing PMI Nov F 43.2 43.2
09:00 EUR EurozoneManufacturing PMI Nov F 45.2 45.2
09:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI Nov 48.6 48.6
10:00 EUR Eurozone Unemployment Rate Oct 6.30% 6.30%
14:30 CAD Manufacturing PMI Nov 50.8 51.1
14:45 USD Manufacturing PMI Nov F 48.8 48.8
15:00 USD ISM Manufacturing PMI Nov 47.5 46.5
15:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid Nov 55.2 54.8
15:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Employment Index Nov 44.4
15:00 USD ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index Nov 47.1
15:00 USD Construction Spending M/M Oct 0.20% 0.10%