Risk-off Sentiment Dominates as Expectation of 50bps Fed Hike Intensified
Action Insight Daily Report 2-11-22

Risk-off Sentiment Dominates as Expectation of 50bps Fed Hike Intensified

Much volatility was seen in the markets overnight, but as dusts settled, risk-off sentiment dominated. Fed funds futures are now pricing in 94.7% chance of a 50bps rate hike by Fed after the strong CPI reading, comparing to just 33.7% a week ago. Dollar is trading generally higher in Asia, followed by Yen. Aussie is the weakest followed by Kiwi and then Euro.

Technically, the outlook in many major pairs and crosses are mixed. EUR/USD struggled to break 1.1482 near term resistance firmly, but the retreat is held well above 1.1265 minor support. USD/JPY is still limited by 116.34 high despite yesterday's rally. USD/CHF is staying in established range of 0.9176/0.9341. USD/CAD is also stuck in range of 1.2648/2795. Currency traders are not committing to a direction yet.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Hong Kong HSI is down -0.60%. China Shanghai SSE is down -0.68%. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.14%. Japan is on holiday. Overnight, DOW dropped -1.47%. S&P 500 dropped -1.81%. NASDAQ dropped -2.10%. 10-year yield jumped sharpy by 0.102 to close at 2.031.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 115.54; (P) 115.94; (R1) 116.40; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the upside with focus on 116.34 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend from 102.58. Next target is 118.65 long term resistance. On the downside, though, break of 115.31 minor support will extend the corrective pattern from 116.34 with another falling leg, and turn bias back to the downside for 114.14 support and possibly below.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:30 NZD Business NZ PMI Jan 52.1 53.7 53.8
02:00 NZD RBNZ Inflation Expectations Q1 3.27% 2.96%
07:00 EUR Germany CPI M/M Jan F 0.40% 0.40%
07:00 EUR Germany CPI Y/Y Jan F 4.90% 4.90%
07:00 GBP GDP M/M Dec -0.50% 0.90%
07:00 GBP GDP Q/Q Q4 P 1.10% 1.10%
07:00 GBP Index of Services 3M/3M Dec 1.20% 1.30%
07:00 GBP Manufacturing Production M/M Dec 0.20% 1.10%
07:00 GBP Manufacturing Production Y/Y Dec 1.70% 0.40%
07:00 GBP Industrial Production M/M Dec 0.10% 1.00%
07:00 GBP Industrial Production Y/Y Dec 0.60% 0.10%
07:00 GBP Goods Trade Balance (GBP) Dec -13.0B -11.3B
07:30 CHF CPI M/M Jan 0.10% -0.10%
07:30 CHF CPI Y/Y Jan 1.60% 1.50%
15:00 USD Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Feb P 67.6 67.2