Euro Steady after ECB Comments, Focus Back from Ukraine to Fed Minutes
Action Insight Daily Report 2-16-22

Euro Steady after ECB Comments, Focus Back from Ukraine to Fed Minutes

Asian markets are cautiously optimistic as worries over Russia-Ukraine situation eased. While there are reports of cyber attacks by Russia on Ukraine's defence ministry and banks, investors are still calm. If the risks of war do vanish, hopefully, focuses will be turned back to Fed's tightening pace, which might be shed some lights on by FOMC minutes to be published today.

In the currency markets, major pairs are crosses are largely staying inside last week's range. Euro had recovered some ground, together with Aussie. The common currency is also supported from mildly hawkish comments from ECB officials. Yen and Swiss Franc had turned weaker. Dollar is mixed for the moment, awaiting guidance from US data and Fed minutes.

Technically, with Canada CPI also featured, attention will be on USD/CAD today. For now, further rise is expected with 1.2634 support intact. Break of 1.2795 will resume the rally from 1.2448 to retest 1.2963 resistance. But break of 1.2634 will turn focus back to 1.2448 support instead.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is up 2.13%. Hong Kong HSI is up 1.31%. China Shanghai SSE is up 0.71%. Singapore Strait Times is up 0.18%. Overnight, DOW rose 1.22%. S&P 500 rose 1.58%, NASDAQ rose 2.53%. 10-year yield rose 0.049 to 2.045.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1318; (P) 1.1343; (R1) 1.1384; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral at this point. With 1.1265 minor support intact, further rally will remain mildly in favor. On the upside break of 1.1482 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.2348 to 1.1120 at 1.1589 next. Sustained break there will argue that whole fall from 1.2348 has completed too and target 61.8% retracement at 1.1879. On the downside, however, break of 1.1265 support will dampen this bullish view and bring retest of 1.1120 low instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:30 AUD Westpac Leading Index M/M Jan 0.10% 0.00%
01:30 CNY CPI Y/Y Jan 0.90% 1.00% 1.50%
01:30 CNY PPI Y/Y Jan 9.10% 9.40% 10.30%
04:30 JPY Tertiary Industry Index M/M Dec 0.40% 0.50% 0.40%
07:00 GBP CPI Y/Y Jan 5.50% 5.40%
07:00 GBP Core CPI Y/Y Jan 4.30% 4.20%
07:00 GBP RPI Y/Y Jan 7.40% 7.50%
07:00 GBP PPI Input M/M Jan 0.70% -0.20%
07:00 GBP PPI Input Y/Y Jan 14.20% 13.50%
07:00 GBP PPI Output M/M Jan 0.60% 0.30%
07:00 GBP PPI Output Y/Y Jan 9.40% 9.30%
07:00 GBP PPI Core Output M/M Jan 0.70% 0.50%
07:00 GBP PPI Core Output Y/Y Jan 9.00% 8.70%
10:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Production M/M Dec 0.30% 2.30%
13:30 CAD Manufacturing Sales M/M Dec 0.00% 2.60%
13:30 CAD Wholesale Sales M/M Dec 2.70% 3.50%
13:30 CAD CPI Y/Y Jan 4.80% 4.80%
13:30 CAD CPI Common Y/Y Jan 2.10% 2.10%
13:30 CAD CPI Median Y/Y Jan 3.10% 3.00%
13:30 CAD CPI Trimmed Y/Y Jan 3.70% 3.70%
13:30 USD Retail Sales M/M Jan 1.80% -1.90%
13:30 USD Retail Sales ex Autos M/M Jan 1.00% -2.30%
13:30 USD Import Price Index M/M Jan 1.30% -0.20%
14:15 USD Industrial Production M/M Jan 0.50% -0.10%
14:15 USD Capacity Utilization Jan 76.70% 76.50%
15:00 USD Business Inventories Dec 2.10% 1.30%
15:00 USD NAHB Housing Market Index Feb 83 83
15:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -2.2M -4.8M
19:00 USD FOMC Minutes