Sterling to Look into Retail Sales for Range Breakout
Action Insight Daily Report 2-18-22

Sterling to Look into Retail Sales for Range Breakout

Even though the US markets were in deep selloff overnight, Asian markets are just mixed. Investors are still waiting for come clarity on the Russia-Ukraine situation before taking a committed move. Trading is also subdued ahead of a long weekend in the US, with a holiday on Monday. In the currency markets, Aussie and Kiwi are currently the strongest ones for the week. Dollar, Euro and Yen are the worst performing. But the picture could easily change if something dramatic happens.

Technically, GBP/USD would be a focus today, with retail sales data featured. Break of 1.3642 will resume the rise from 1.3356 to 1.3748 resistance further break there will revive the case of bullish reversal, and could set the stage for retesting 1.4248 high at a later stage. Meanwhile, GBP/JPY is also rather resilient in spite of geopolitical uncertainties. Break of 158.04/19 resistance zone will confirm even confirm resumption of medium term up trend for next.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is down -0.18%. Hong Kong HSI is down -0.48%. China Shanghai SSE is up 0.02%. Singapore Strait Times is up 0.05%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is down -0.0016 at 0.222. Overnight, DOW dropped -1.78%. S&P 500 dropped -2.12%. NASDAQ dropped -2.88%. 10-year yield dropped -0.075 to 1.972.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3567; (P) 1.3603; (R1) 1.3649; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment, and focus stays on 1.3642 resistance. Break there will resume the rebound from 1.3356 to 1.3748 resistance. Firm break there will revive the bullish case that correction from 1.4248 has completed with three waves down to 1.3158. Further rally should then be seen to retest 1.4248 high. On the downside, though, break of 1.3485 will turn bias to the downside for 1.3356 support instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:45 NZD PPI Input Q/Q Q4 1.10% 1.60% 1.60%
21:45 NZD PPI Output Q/Q Q4 1.40% 2.30% 1.80%
23:30 JPY National CPI Core Y/Y Jan 0.20% 0.30% 0.50%
07:00 GBP Retail Sales M/M Jan 1.00% -3.70%
07:00 GBP Retail Sales Y/Y Jan 8.70% -0.90%
07:00 GBP Retail Sales ex-Fuel M/M Jan 1.20% -3.60%
07:00 GBP Retail Sales ex-Fuel Y/Y Jan 7.90% -3.00%
09:00 EUR Eurozone Current Account (EUR) Dec 24.3B 23.6B
13:30 CAD New Housing Price Index M/M Jan 0.50% 0.20%
13:30 CAD Retail Sales M/M Dec -2.10% 0.70%
13:30 CAD Retail Sales ex Autos M/M Dec -2.10% 1.10%
15:00 USD Existing Home Sales Jan 6.12M 6.18M
15:00 EUR Eurozone Consumer Confidence Feb P -8 -9