Yen Rally Pauses as BoJ Signals Bond Market Intervention, Dollar Soft

Action Insight Daily Report 2-21-25

Yen Rally Pauses as BoJ Signals Bond Market Intervention, Dollar Soft

Yen volatility remains a key theme in Asian session today. Stronger-than-expected Japanese inflation data provided further justification for BoJ’s ongoing policy normalization, reinforcing speculation that the central bank may hike rates sooner than previously anticipated.

However, Yen’s rally lost momentum after Japan’s 10-year JGB yield pulled back sharply. This dip in yield came after BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda told parliament that the central bank is ready to step in to stabilize markets if yields rise too sharply, hinting at possible intervention in the bond market to smooth fluctuations.

Despite this pullback, there are no clear signs of reversal in both JGB yields and Yen. Market participants may continue to position for an earlier BoJ rate hike, given the persistent inflationary pressures and rising wage expectations in Japan....

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.30; (P) 157.15; (R1) 157.98; More...

EUR/JPY recovered ahead of 155.72 support and intraday bias is turned neutral again. Overall outlook is unchanged that consolidation pattern from 154.40 might extend further. Above 185.35 minor resistance will bring stronger rebound to 161.17. Nevertheless, firm break of 155.72 support will be a strong sign that whole fall from 175.41 is resuming. Retest of 154.40 support should be seen next and firm break there should confirm.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

USD/JPY Nosedives—Can Bulls Prevent a Bigger Collapse?

Fine-Tuning (is) the Message

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Holds Above $95k But Faces Significant Resistance Ahead

EURAUD Technical Analysis

NZDCAD Technical Analysis

USDJPY Wave Analysis

FTSE 100 Wave Analysis

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
alt
RBNZ Cuts the OCR to 3.75%
alt
And So It Begins... RBA Cuts Cash Rate 25bp to 4.1%
alt
U.K.: Slow Growth, Lingering Inflation, Gradual Rate Cuts
 
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:45 NZD Trade Balance (NZD) Jan -486M 225M 219M 94M
22:00 AUD Manufacturing PMI Feb P 50.6 50.2
22:00 AUD Services PMI Feb P 51.4 51.2
23:50 JPY CPI Y/Y Jan 4.00% 3.60%
23:50 JPY CPI Core Y/Y Jan 3.20% 3.10% 3.00%
23:50 JPY CPI Core-Core Y/Y Jan 2.50% 2.40%
00:01 GBP GfK Consumer Confidence Feb -20 -22 -22
00:30 JPY Manufacturing PMI Feb P 48.9 49 48.7
00:30 JPY Services PMI Feb P 53.1 53
07:00 GBP Retail Sales M/M Jan 0.30% -0.30%
07:00 GBP Public Sector Net Borrowing (GBP) Jan -20.5B 17.8B
08:15 EUR France Manufacturing PMI Feb P 45.3 45
08:15 EUR France Services PMI Feb P 49 48.2
08:30 EUR Germany Manufacturing PMI Feb P 45.6 45
08:30 EUR Germany Services PMI Feb P 52.6 52.5
09:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Feb P 47.1 46.6
09:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI Feb P 51.5 51.3
09:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI Feb P 48.5 48.3
09:30 GBP Services PMI Feb P 51 50.9
13:30 CAD Retail Sales M/M Dec 1.60% 0%
13:30 CAD Retail Sales ex Autos M/M Dec 0.40% -0.70%
14:45 USD Manufacturing PMI Feb P 51.3 51.2
14:45 USD Services PMI Feb P 53 52.9
15:00 USD Existing Home Sales M/M Jan 4.17M 4.24M
15:00 USD Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Jan F 67.8 67.8