Aussie Surges as Risk Sentiment Improves, Euro and Sterling Shrugs Hawkish Comments
Action Insight Daily Report 2-24-22

Global Markets Sink as Russia Invades Ukraine, Euro Under Heavy Selling

Global markets sink as Russia finally launches invasion of Ukraine. Risk averse sentiment dominates, pushing gold and oil higher, while stocks and cryptocurrencies tumble. In the currency markets, Yen and Swiss Franc surge sharply on safe-haven flows, together with Dollar. On the other hand, Euro is under heavy selling pressure together with commodity currencies.

Technically, EUR/USD finally breaks through 1.1265 minor support, confirming rejection by 1.1482 resistance. Deeper decline should be seen through 1.1120 to resume larger down trend from 1.2348. EUR/CHF's break of 1.0298 support also suggests resumption of down trend from 1.1149. To solidify the Euro's bearishness, we'd like to see EUR/JPY taking out 128.23 support with some conviction.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is down -2.05%. Hong Kong HSI is down -3.27%. China Shanghai SSE is down -1.52%. Singapore Strait Times is down -3.10%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is down -0.0043 at 0.194. Overnight, DOW dropped -1.38%. S&P 500 dropped -1.84%. NASDAQ dropped -2.57%. 10-year yield rose 0.029 to 1.977.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0351; (P) 1.0405; (R1) 1.0435; More....

EUR/CHF's fall from 1.0610 resumes after brief recovery and hits as low as 1.0288 so far. The breach of 1.0298 low argues that larger down trend from 1.1149 is resuming too. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Sustained trading below 1.0298 will target 61.8% projection of 1.0936 to 1.0298 from 1.0610 at 1.0216. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.0459 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
00:30 AUD Private Capital Expenditure Q4 1.10% 2.90% -2.20% -1.10%
13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Feb 18) 239K 248K
13:30 USD GDP Annualized Q4 P 7.10% 6.90%
13:30 USD GDP Price Index Q4 P 6.90% 6.90%
15:00 USD New Home Sales M/M Jan 803K 811K
15:30 USD Natural Gas Storage -137B -190B
16:00 USD Crude Oil Inventories -1.0M 1.1M