Dollar Stuck Between Falling Yields and Risk Aversion, Struggles for Direction

Action Insight Daily Report 2-26-25

Dollar Stuck Between Falling Yields and Risk Aversion, Struggles for Direction

Dollar remains stuck in a tug-of-war of conflicting forces. On one side, extended decline in US Treasury yields is pressuring the greenback, while on the other, risk aversion is offering some support.

10-year Treasury yield fell to its lowest level since December, looks on track to test the next Fibonacci support at 4.2%. Bond markets appear to be betting on a downturn, reflecting growing fears that the US economy could be headed for a rough landing as the administration's policies weigh on consumer confidence.

Meanwhile, risk aversion is pressuring US stock markets, indirectly giving Dollar some support as a safe-haven asset. S&P 500 closed lower for the fourth straight session, while NASDAQ shed -1% following weak consumer confidence data. The uncertainty surrounding tariffs, fiscal policy, and economic growth is amplifying recession fears, leading investors to seek refuge in bonds and defensive assets....

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4266; (P) 1.4293; (R1) 1.4345; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral with focus turning to 1.4378 resistance as rebound from 1.4150 extends. Firm break there will suggest that the correction from 1.4791 has completed, and turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.4791. On the downside, break of 1.4150 will target 1.3946 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.3418 to 1.4791 at 1.3942).

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

Bitcoin Loses Ground—Falling Below $90K Sparks Panic

NASDAQ Elliott Wave Forecast – Identifying The Next Buying Opportunity

GBPCHF Technical Analysis

NZDUSD Technical Analysis

WTI Crude Oil Wave Analysis

Monetary Policy Divergence and FX Exchange Rate Impacts: EURCAD & AUDCAD Analysis

USD/CAD Eyes Breakout as Tariff Deadline Approaches

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
alt
German Election - A Positive Outcome for Markets and the Economy
alt
RBNZ Cuts the OCR to 3.75%
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
00:30 AUD Monthly CPI Y/Y Jan 2.50% 2.60% 2.50%
00:30 AUD Construction Work Done Q4 0.50% 0.80% 1.60% 2.00%
07:00 EUR Germany GfK Consumer Sentiment Mar -21.1 -22.4
09:00 CHF UBS Economic Expectations Feb 17.7
15:00 USD New Home Sales Jan 677K 698K
15:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories 2.5M 4.6M
15:00 USD Consumer Confidence Feb 103.3 104.1