Euro Power Continues, Dollar Staying Pressured ahead of NFP
Action Insight Daily Report 2-4-22

Euro Power Continues, Dollar Staying Pressured ahead of NFP

Euro remains in the spotlight in Asian session, as post-ECB rally is extending. Dollar is particularly in pressure as markets are awaiting disappointment from non-farm payroll job data. Yen is currently the second weakest for the week, following the greenback. Aussie is the second strongest, next to Euro, followed by Kiwi. Focuses will turn to non-farm payroll report from the US today, and the reactions from stocks, yields and currencies.

Technically, EUR/GBP's break of 0.8421 resistance, as well as 55 day EMA, now raises the chance of major bottoming at 0.8282, just ahead of 0.8276 key long term support. Further rally should at least be seen towards 0.8598 resistance to have a test on it. EUR/CHF's break of 1.0510 resistance also indicates medium term bottoming at 1.0298. Now, focus will be on 1.1482 resistance in EUR/USD. Firm break there will align with the bullish outlook in Euro.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is up 0.76%. Hong Kong HSI is up 3.18%. China is still on holiday. Singapore Strait Times is up 0.20%. Japan 10-year yield is up 0.0259 at 0.206, back above 0.2 handle! Overnight, DOW dropped -1.45%. S&P 500 dropped -2.44%. NASDAQ dropped -3.74%. 10-year yield rose 0.061 to 1.827.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0427; (P) 1.0485; (R1) 1.0587; More....

EUR/CHF's rebound from 1.0298 accelerates to as high as 1.0548 so far. The strong break of 1.0510 resistance argues that a medium term bottom was already formed at 1.0298, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Intraday bias is now on the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 1.0298 at 1.0623 first. Sustained trading above there will raise the chance of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 1.0824 next. For now, further rise will remain in favor as long as 1.0439 minor support holds, in case of retreat.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:45 NZD Building Permits M/M Dec 0.60% 0.60%
00:30 AUD RBA Monetary Policy Statement
07:00 EUR Germany Factory Orders M/M Dec 0.50% 3.70%
07:45 EUR France Industrial Output M/M Dec 0.50% -0.40%
09:30 GBP Construction PMI Jan 54.3 54.3
10:00 EUR Eurozone Retail Sales M/M Dec -0.50% 1.00%
13:30 USD Nonfarm Payrolls Jan 150K 199K
13:30 USD Unemployment Rate Jan 3.90% 3.90%
13:30 USD Average Hourly Earnings M/M Jan 0.50% 0.60%
13:30 CAD Net Change in Employment Jan -121.5K 54.7K
13:30 CAD Unemployment Rate Jan 6.00% 5.90%
15:00 CAD Ivey PMI Jan 55.1 45