Yen Under Pressure on Rate Outlook and Rising Yield, USD/JPY Breakout
Action Insight Daily Report 3-11-22

Yen Under Pressure on Rate Outlook and Rising Yield, USD/JPY Breakout

Yen is under some broad based pressure in Asia session despite some mild risk aversion sentiment. BoJ is clear to lag behind other major central bank in raising interest rates, due to the still underperforming inflation. Rally in global treasury yields is also weighing on the Japanese currency. Euro is maintaining this week's recovery, but is apparently struggling to extend rebound as Russia invasion of Ukraine drags on. Dollar is firm and the upside breakout against Yen is a positive sign.

Technically, USD/JPY finally breaks through 116.34 resistance to resume medium term up trend. Next target is long term resistance level at 118.65. At the same time, AUD/JPY is also marching towards 86.24 high. Firm break there will resume medium term up trend too and would add to the case of more broad based Yen selloff. Though, break of 83.79 support will suggest rejection by 86.24 and bring near term reversal.

In Asia, Nikkei closed down -2.05%. Hong Kong HSI is down -1.69%. China Shanghai SSE is down -0.22%. Singapore Strait Times is up 0.22%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is down -0.0078. Overnight, DOW dropped -0.34%. S&P 500 dropped -0.43%. NASDAQ dropped -0.95%. 10-year yield rose 0.063 to 2.011 (but it's retreating in Asia).

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 115.91; (P) 116.05; (R1) 116.29; More...

USD/JPY's break of 116.34 resistance confirms up trend resumption. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Current rally should now target next long term resistance at 118.65. On the downside, below 115.80 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will remain bullish as long as 114.40 support holds, in case of retreat.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:30 NZD Business NZ PMI Feb 53.6 52.1 52.3
23:30 JPY Overall Household Spending Y/Y Jan 6.90% 3.60% -0.20%
23:50 JPY BSI Large Manufacturing Conditions Index Q1 -7.6 8.2 7.9
07:00 EUR Germany CPI M/M Feb F 0.90% 0.90%
07:00 EUR Germany CPI Y/Y Feb F 5.10% 5.10%
07:00 GBP GDP M/M Jan 0.20% -0.20%
07:00 GBP Index of Services 3M/3M Jan 1.20% 1.20%
07:00 GBP Industrial Production M/M Jan 0.30% 0.30%
07:00 GBP Industrial Production Y/Y Jan 0.20% 0.40%
07:00 GBP Manufacturing Production M/M Jan 0.20% 0.20%
07:00 GBP Manufacturing Production Y/Y Jan 3.10% 1.30%
07:00 GBP Goods Trade Balance (GBP) Jan -12.6B -12.4B
13:30 CAD Net Change in Employment Feb 123.0K -200.1K
13:30 CAD Unemployment Rate Feb 6.20% 6.50%
15:00 USD Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Mar P 61.3 62.8
15:00 GBP NIESR GDP Estimate (3M) Feb 1.10% 0.90%