Euro Extends Rebound, Yen Selloff Continues
Action Insight Daily Report 3-15-22

Euro Extends Rebound, Yen Selloff Continues

Sentiment is mixed overall as Russia invasion of Ukraine is continuing. Asia is split into two world, with Nikkei and Singapore markets steady. But Hong Kong and China stock markets are in steep selloff again, after US warned China of helping Russia of easing the impact of sanction. The upbeat Chinese data are generally ignored. Oil price and Gold are both extending near term pull back.

In the currency markets, Yen's decline continue, as driven by extended rally in global benchmark yields. But selloff in Aussie and Kiwi is even more severe, as dragged down by China. Euro is recovering together with Sterling. Dollar is mixed for now, awaiting the guidance from FOMC later in the week.

Technically, EUR/CHF is extending the rebound from 0.9970. The break of 1.0298 support turned resistance now suggest that a medium term bottom is probably in place after defending parity. That's an important sign of stabilization in Euro. Attention will be in particularly to 1.1120 resistance in EUR/USD. Break will further confirm the war triggered selloff is fully over.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is up 0.32%. Hong Kong HSI is down -2.99%. China Shanghai SSE is down -2.18%. Singapore Strait Times is up 0.64%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is up 0.0145 at 0.210. Overnight DOW rose 0.00%. S&P 500 dropped -0.74%. NASDAQ dropped -2.04%. 10-year yield rose strongly by 0.136 to 2.140.

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.33; (P) 129.02; (R1) 130.00; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the upside at this point. With break of 55 day EMA, the corrective pattern from 134.11 might have completed at 124.37 already. Further rise should be seen to 133.13/134.11 resistance zone. This will now be the mildly favored case as long as 127.40 minor support holds. Nevertheless, break of 127.40 will bring retest of 124.37 instead.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

Minutes to RBA Board's March Meeting

FOMC Meeting Preview: 25bps Pencilled in, but Balance Sheet and Dot Plot Updates Key

NZ Q4 GDP and What Comes Next for AUDNZD?

GBP/USD Extends Decline, UK's Employment Report Next

US Dollar Near Peak, Absent Further Escalation of Conflict

Elliott Wave View: Silver Buyers Should Appear Soon

Peace Talks Weigh on Commodities, AUD and NZD

Currency Pair of the Week: GBP/USD

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
Rising Recession Risk as Yet Another Supply Shock Hits
Global Growth and Inflation Impact of the Russia-Ukraine Crisis
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
00:30 AUD RBA Meeting Minutes
00:30 AUD House Price Index Q/Q Q4 4.70% 3.90% 5.00%
02:00 CNY Retail Sales Y/Y Feb 6.70% 3.00% 1.70%
02:00 CNY Fixed Asset Investment (YTD) Y/Y Feb 12.20% 5.00% 4.90%
02:00 CNY Industrial Production Y/Y Feb 7.50% 3.90% 4.30%
07:00 GBP Claimant Count Change Feb -31.9K
07:00 GBP ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) Jan 4.00% 4.10%
07:00 GBP Average Earnings Including Bonus 3M/Y Jan 4.60% 4.30%
07:00 GBP Average Earnings Excluding Bonus 3M/Y Jan 3.70% 3.70%
07:30 CHF Producer and Import Prices M/M Feb 0.40% 0.60%
07:30 CHF Producer and Import Prices Y/Y Feb 5.10% 5.40%
10:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Production M/M Jan 0.40% 1.20%
10:00 EUR Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Mar 10.3 54.3
10:00 EUR Germany ZEW Current Situation Mar -22.5 -8.1
10:00 EUR Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Mar 49.3 48.6
12:15 CAD Housing Starts Y/Y Feb 235K 231K
12:30 CAD Manufacturing Sales M/M Jan 0.30% 0.70%
12:30 USD Empire State Manufacturing Index Mar 7.3 3.1
12:30 USD PPI M/M Feb 1.00% 1.00%
12:30 USD PPI Y/Y Feb 10.00% 9.70%
12:30 USD PPI Core M/M Feb 0.60% 0.80%
12:30 USD PPI Core Y/Y Feb 8.10% 8.30%