Dollar Consolidates as Markets Await FOMC Rate Hike and Projections
Action Insight Daily Report 3-16-22

Dollar Consolidates as Markets Await FOMC Rate Hike and Projections

Dollar is digesting some of this week's gain as markets are awaiting FOMC rate hike and economic projections. There are a lot questions to be answered given the uncertainty over inflation and the economic impact of Russia invasion of Ukraine. As for today, Aussie and Euro are the stronger ones while Dollar and Yen are soft. But the picture could flip in any direction depending on the FOMC outcome.

Technically, if Dollar is to show its muscle today, the first move should be a strong break of 118.65 long term resistance (2016 high) in USD/JPY. The second should be a decisive break of 1.0805 near term bottom in EUR/USD. We'll see if the greenback could do that to confirm it's strength.

In Asia, Nikkei closed up 1.64%. Hong Kong HSI is up 7.81%. China Shanghai SSE is up 3.41%. Singapore Strait Times is up 1.42%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is down -0.0053 at 0.205. Overnight, DOW rose 1.82%. S&P 500 rose 2.14%. NASDAQ rose 2.92%. 10-year yield rose 0.020 to 2.160.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0914; (P) 1.0967; (R1) 1.1008; More...

EUR/USD is still bounded in range of 1.0805/1120 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further decline is still expected with 1.1120 support turned resistance intact. On the downside, firm break of 61.8% projection of 1.2265 to 1.1120 from 1.1494 at 1.0786 will pave they way to 100% projection at 1.0349 next. However, strong break of 1.1120 will confirm short term bottoming, at least, and bring stronger rebound back towards 1.1494 structural resistance instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:45 NZD Current Account (NZD) Q4 -7.26B -6.49B -8.30B -8.25B
23:30 AUD Westpac Leading Index M/M Feb -0.20% 0.10%
23:50 JPY Trade Balance (JPY) Feb -1.03T -0.39T -0.93T -0.78T
04:30 JPY Industrial Production M/M Jan F -0.80% -1.30% -1.30%
12:30 CAD Wholesale Sales M/M Jan 4.00% 0.60%
12:30 CAD CPI M/M Feb 0.90% 0.90%
12:30 CAD CPI Y/Y Feb 5.50% 5.10%
12:30 CAD CPI Common Y/Y Feb 2.40% 2.30%
12:30 CAD CPI Median Y/Y Fed 3.50% 3.30%
12:30 CAD CPI Trimmed Y/Y Fed 4.20% 4.00%
12:30 USD Retail Sales M/M Feb 0.60% 3.80%
12:30 USD Retail Sales ex Autos M/M Feb 0.90% 3.30%
12:30 USD Export Price Index Y/Y Feb 12.60% 15.10%
12:30 USD Import Price Index M/M Feb 1.60% 2.00%
14:00 USD Business Inventories Jan 1.10% 2.10%
14:00 USD NAHB Housing Market Index Mar 81 82
15:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -1.8M -1.9M
18:00 USD Fed Interest Rate Decision 0.50% 0.25%
18:30 USD FOMC Press Conference