Currency Trading Subdued, But Risk Aversion Building Up
Action Insight Daily Report 3-4-21

Currency Trading Subdued, But Risk Aversion Building Up

Huge volatility continues in stock markets as Asian indices dive following the selloff in US overnight. But movements in exchange rates are relatively subdued, and mixed. Swiss Franc, Yen and Euro are currently the weaker ones for the week, followed by Dollar. Australian Dollar is leading other commodity currencies and Sterling as the strongest. However, odds of a come back of risk aversion is building, with NASDAQ near completing and head and shoulder pattern. Fundamentally, we'll have a speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell today, and US non-farm payrolls tomorrow, which could trigger more volatility.

Technically, in case of risk off trades, we'll monitor 106.66 minor support in USD/JPY and 0.9135 minor support in USD/CHF. Break of these levels would indicate that Dollar is over-powered by Yen and Swiss Franc for the near term at least. At the same time, 116.20 support in CHF/JPY will decide which one will decide if Yen could outperform the Swiss Franc.

In Asia, currently, Nikkei is down -2.39%. Hong Kong HSI is down -2.55%. China Shanghai SSE is down -1.58%. Singapore Strait Times is up 0.17%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is up 0.0111 at 0.135. Overnight, DOW dropped -0.39%. S&P 500 dropped -1.31%. NASDAQ dropped -2.70%. 10-year yield rose 0.055 to 1.470.

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

US Crude Inventory Recorded Biggest Weekly Increase in History
China PMIs Affirm Broad-based Slowdown in Activities
RBA Review - QE Might Increase Further to Curb Rising Yields and Exchange Rate
Central Bank Views | China Watch | Oil N' Gold | Special Topics

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2612; (P) 1.2636; (R1) 1.2678; More....

Outlook in USD/CAD is unchanged and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Rebound from 1.2446 could still extend with another rise through 1.2742. But overall, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.2880 resistance holds. Below 1.2586 will turn bias to the downside and bring retest of 1.2466 low first. However, sustained break of 1.2880 will argue that fall from 1.3389 has completed and bring stronger rise to 1.2994 support turned resistance.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

Market Morning Briefing: EURJPY Looks Stable Just Now While Below Immediate Resistance Near 130

Crude Oil Shrugs Off OPEC+ Output Cuts Rollover

USD/CAD Starts Fresh Decrease, 1.2580 Is The Key

USD/ZAR May Be Ready For A Breakout

USD/CHF and DXY Mending Their Broken Relationship

US Jobs Likely Bounced Back in February; Can a Strong NFP Fire Up Bond Yields?

Gold Charts a New 9-Month Low; Selling Pressure Could be Losing Momentum

OPEC's Meeting May Not Wreck the Bullish Oil Run

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
China PMIs Affirm Broad-based Slowdown in Activities
RBA Board Holds the Line – No Material Change in Policy Stance
Global Yields Catch Up With US Treasuries; Has the Dollar's Rebound Been Thwarted?
Longer-Term Demand/Supply Outlook Remains Supportive of Copper Strength
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
0:30 AUD Retail Sales M/M Jan 0.50% 0.60% 0.60%
0:30 AUD Trade Balance (AUD) Jan 10.14B 6.30B 6.79B 7.13B
5:00 JPY Consumer Confidence Index Feb 33.8 30.6 29.6
9:00 EUR ECB Economic Bulletin
9:30 GBP Construction PMI Feb 51.5 49.2
10:00 EUR Eurozone Unemployment Rate Jan 8.30% 8.30%
10:00 EUR Eurozone Retail Sales M/M Jan -1.10% 2.00%
12:30 USD Challenger Job CutsY/Y Feb 17.40%
13:30 CAD Labor Productivity Q/Q Q4 -10.30%
13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Feb 26) 755K 730K
13:30 USD Nonfarm Productivity Q4 -4.70% -4.80%
13:30 USD Unit Labor Costs Q4 6.70% 6.80%
15:00 USD Factory Orders M/M Jan 1.90% 1.10%
15:30 USD Natural Gas Storage -338B