Focus Turns to Eurozone CPI and US Non-Farm Payrolls
Action Insight Daily Report 4-1-22

Focus Turns to Eurozone CPI and US Non-Farm Payrolls

The forex markets are rather steady in Asian session today. Focuses will turn to Eurozone CPI flash and US non-farm payrolls employment. Euro is so far still the strongest one for the week, but it will need some inspiration from inflation data to give it another lift. Dollar will particularly look into wage growth data to solidify Fed hike expectations. But the net movement will eventually depend on the overall risk sentiment.

Technically, USD/JPY recovers just ahead of 121.17 minor support, after drawing support from 4 hour 55 EMA too. The development is keeping corrective pattern from 125.09 brief. That is, another rise through 125.09 should come sooner rather than later. However, firm break of 121.17 will indicate that it's already in a deeper near term correction. Reactions to NFP report today would reveal which case it is.

In Asia, Nikkei closed down -0.49%. Hong Kong HSI is down -0.92%. China Shanghai SSE is up 0.78%. Singapore Strait Times is up 0.31%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is up 0.0020 at 0.218. Overnight, DOW dropped -1.56%. S&P 500 dropped -1.57%. NASDAQ dropped -1.54%. 10-year yield dropped -0.031 to 2.327.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1024; (P) 1.1104 (R1) 1.1148; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral at this point, but further rally is mildly in favor as long as 1.0943 support holds. Break of 1.1184 will resume the rebound from 1.0805 to 38.2% retracement of 1.2265 to 1.0805 at 1.1363. However, break of 1.0943 will revive near term bearishness and bring retest of 1.0805 low first.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:30 AUD AiG Performance of Mfg Index Mar 55.7 53.2
23:50 JPY Tankan Large Manufacturing Index Q1 14 12 18
23:50 JPY Tankan Large Manufacturing Outlook Q1 9 10 13
23:50 JPY Tankan Non - Manufacturing Index Q1 9 5 9
23:50 JPY Tankan Non - Manufacturing Outlook Q1 -10 8 8
23:50 JPY Tankan Large All Industry Capex Q1 2.20% 4.40% 9.30%
00:30 JPY Manufacturing PMI Mar F 54.1 53.2 53.2
01:45 CNY Caixin Manufacturing PMI Mar 48.1 49.7 50.4
06:30 CHF CPI M/M Mar 0.50% 0.70%
06:30 CHF CPI Y/Y Mar 2.40% 2.20%
07:30 CHF SVME PMI Mar 61 62.6
07:45 EUR Italy Manufacturing PMI Mar 57 58.3
07:50 EUR France Manufacturing PMI Mar F 54.8 54.8
07:55 EUR Germany Manufacturing PMI Mar F 57.6 57.6
08:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Mar F 57 57
08:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI Mar F 55.5 55.5
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Y/Y Mar P 6.50% 5.90%
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Core Y/Y Mar P 3.10% 2.70%
12:30 USD Nonfarm Payrolls Mar 488K 678K
12:30 USD Unemployment Rate Mar 3.70% 3.80%
12:30 USD Average Hourly Earnings M/M Mar 0.40% 0.00%
13:30 CAD Manufacturing PMI Mar 56.5 56.6
13:45 USD Manufacturing PMI Mar F 58.5
14:00 USD ISM Manufacturing PMI Mar 58.4 58.6
14:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid Mar 76 75.6
14:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Employment Index Mar 53.7 52.9
14:00 USD ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index Mar 59.8 61.7
14:00 USD Construction Spending M/M Feb 0.90% 1.30%