Dollar Turned Mixed as CPI Awaited, Yen Weakness Continues
Action Insight Daily Report 4-12-22

Dollar Turned Mixed as CPI Awaited, Yen Weakness Continues

Dollar turned a bit mixed in Asian session as markets await consumer inflation data from the US today. The greenback is losing some momentum against Yen as it's pressing a long term resistance level at 125.85. Meanwhile, it ticks down against European majors, which are recovering. On the other hand, Dollar is extending rebound against Canadian, which is now the second weakest, even though a big 50bps rate hike is expected from BoC later in the week.

Technically, a main focus today is on USD/JPY's reaction to 125.85 (2015 high). Strong break there will confirm resumption of up trend from 2011 low. Such development could come in reaction to strong CPI reading and extended rally in US treasury yields. Break of 124.04 minor support will turn USD/JPY into consolidations first, before setting up another attempt on 125.85.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is down -1.92%. Hong Kong HSI is down -0.36%. China Shanghai SSE is up 0.08%. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.77%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is up 0.004 at 0.243. Overnight DOW dropped -1.19%. S&P 500 dropped -1.69%. NASDAQ dropped -2.18%. 10-year yield rose 0.067 to 2.780.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2586; (P) 1.2614; (R1) 1.2661; More...

USD/CAD's rebound from 1.2401 resumed by breaking through 1.2617 temporary top. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 1.2629) will bring further rally to upper side of recent range at 1.2963. On the downside, though, below below 1.2561 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2401 support again.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:00 NZD NZIER Business Confidence Q1 -40 -28
23:01 GBP BRC Like-For-Like Retail Sales Y/Y Mar -0.40% 2.60% 2.70%
23:50 JPY Bank Lending Y/Y Mar 0.50% 0.50% 0.40%
23:50 JPY PPI Y/Y Mar 9.50% 9.30% 9.30% 9.70%
01:30 AUD NAB Business Confidence Mar 16 13
01:30 AUD NAB Business Conditions Mar 18 9
06:00 GBP Claimant Count Change Mar -41.1K -48.1K
06:00 GBP ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) Feb 3.80% 3.90%
06:00 GBP Average Earnings Including Bonus 3M/Y Feb 5.70% 4.80%
06:00 GBP Average Earnings Excluding Bonus 3M/Y Feb 3.70% 3.80%
06:00 EUR Germany CPI M/M Mar F 2.50% 2.50%
06:00 EUR Germany CPI Y/Y Mar F 7.30% 7.30%
06:45 EUR France Trade Balance (EUR) Feb -9.3B -8.0B
09:00 EUR Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Apr -48 -39.3
09:00 EUR Germany ZEW Current Situation Apr -35 -21.4
09:00 EUR Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Apr -46.5 -38.7
10:00 USD NFIB Business Optimism Index Mar 95 95.7
12:30 USD CPI M/M Mar 1.10% 0.80%
12:30 USD CPI Y/Y Mar 8.30% 7.90%
12:30 USD CPI Core M/M Mar 0.50% 0.50%
12:30 USD CPI Core Y/Y Mar 6.60% 6.40%