Yen Softens in Quiet, Directionless Markets, Dollar Regains Ground
Action Insight Daily Report 4-13-21

Yen Softens in Quiet, Directionless Markets, Dollar Regains Ground

The forex markets are generally quite and directionless for the time being. After very brief selloff yesterday, Dollar is regaining some ground in Asian session today. Sterling is mildly firmer too, but there is no follow through buying. Yen is currently the weaker one together with Swiss Franc and Australian Dollar. In other markets, Gold continues to struggle in tight range, together with oil price.

Technically, one focus today is 130.65 resistance in EUR/JPY. Firm break there will resume larger up trend from 114.42. More importantly, that might be an early sign of upside breakout in Euro, or downside breakout in Yen. For the latter, we'd look at 109.95 minor resistance in USD/JPY to confirm the rebound from 108.99, and double confirm Yen's weakness.

In Asia, currently, Nikkei is up 0.98%. Hong Kong HSI is up 0.906%. China Shanghai SSE is down -0.01%. Singapore Strait Times is up 0.21%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is down -0.007 at 0.104. Overnight, DOW dropped -0.16%. S&P 500 dropped -0.02%. NASDAQ dropped -0.36%. 10-year yield rose 0.009 to 1.675.

Full Report Here

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USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2539; (P) 1.2556; (R1) 1.2584; More...

USD/CAD is still bounded in range of 1.2501/2646 and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 1.2363. But overall outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.2742 resistance holds, and eventual downside breakout is expected. On the downside, break of 1.2501 minor support will bring retest of 1.2363 low first.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:00 NZD NZIER Business Confidence Q1 -13 -6
23:01 GBP BRC Retail Sales Monitor Y/Y Mar 20.30% 11.90% 9.50%
23:50 JPY Money Supply M2+CD Y/Y Mar 9.50% 9.60% 9.60%
1:30 AUD NAB Business Confidence Mar 15 16 18
1:30 AUD NAB Business Conditions Mar 25 15
3:00 CNY Trade Balance (USD) Mar 13.8B 52.0B 103.3B
3:00 CNY Imports (USD) Y/Y Mar 38.10% 21.60% 22.20%
3:00 CNY Exports (USD) Y/Y Mar 30.60% 32.70% 60.60%
3:00 CNY Trade Balance (CNY) Mar 88B 330B 676B
3:00 CNY Imports (CNY) Y/Y Mar 27.70% 10.30%
3:00 CNY Exports (CNY) Y/Y Mar 20.70% 139.50%
6:00 EUR Germany Wholesale Price Index M/M Mar 0.60% 1.40%
6:00 GBP GDP M/M Feb 0.60% -2.90%
6:00 GBP Industrial Production M/M Feb 0.50% -1.50%
6:00 GBP Industrial Production Y/Y Feb -4.40% -4.90%
6:00 GBP Manufacturing Production M/M Feb -0.80% -2.30%
6:00 GBP Manufacturing Production Y/Y Feb -5.10% -5.20%
6:00 GBP Index of Services 3M/3M Feb -2.30% -2.40%
6:00 GBP Goods Trade Balance (GBP) Feb -10.4B -9.8B
8:00 EUR Italy Industrial Output M/M Feb 0.60% 1.00%
9:00 EUR Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Apr 79.5 76.6
9:00 EUR Germany ZEW Current Situation Apr -52 -61
9:00 EUR Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Apr 73.2 74
10:00 USD NFIB Business Optimism Index Mar 98.2 95.8
12:30 USD CPI M/M Mar 0.50% 0.40%
12:30 USD CPI Y/Y Mar 2.50% 1.70%
12:30 USD CPI Core M/M Mar 0.20% 0.10%
12:30 USD CPI Core Y/Y Mar 1.60% 1.30%
13:00 GBP NIESR GDP Estimate (3M) Mar -2%