Tariff Shock Hits US Markets Hard, But Global Reactions Split

Action Insight Daily Report 4-3-25

Tariff Shock Hits US Markets Hard, But Global Reactions Split

Reactions in the US markets to the long-anticipated reciprocal tariff announcement were decisively negative. NASDAQ futures tumbled more than -3%, while DOW futures shed as much as -2% at one point. US 10-year yields plunged below the 4.1% mark, highlighting a strong wave of safe haven flows. The reactions confirm what traders feared most—not just new tariffs, but the sheer complexity and breadth of the measures rolled out by the White House.

However, the global market reaction was more uneven. Japan’s Nikkei plummeted by over -1,000 points, nearly -3%, reflecting its vulnerability given the 24% tariff rate applied to its goods. Meanwhile, Hong Kong’s HSI fared relatively better, falling by just -1.5%, while Singapore’s Straits Times Index even managed to claw back most of its early mild losses.

In currency markets, Aussie and Kiwi led the declines, driven by broad risk aversion and China’s exposure to some of the harshest tariff levels. Dollar also came under pressure, as investors pulled out of US assets. Yen emerged as the day’s biggest gainer on classic safe-haven flows, followed by Swiss Franc. Euro, Pound, and Canadian Dollar showed some resilience, as the EU, UK, and Canada either received relatively milder rates or were temporarily spared....

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.80; (P) 149.64; (R1) 150.19; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is back on the downside with break of 148.69 and retest of 146.52 low should be seen next. Firm break there will resume whole fall from 158.86. Next target is 61.8% projection of 158.86 to 146.52 from 151.20 at 143.57. On the upside, above 148.69 support turned resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited below 151.20 resistance to bring another fall.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
00:30 JPY Services PMI Mar F 50 49.5 49.5
01:30 AUD Trade Balance (AUD) Feb 2.97B 5.40B 5.62B 5.16B
01:45 CNY Caixin Services PMI Mar 51.9 51.6 51.4
06:30 CHF CPI M/M Mar 0.10% 0.60%
06:30 CHF CPI Y/Y Mar 0.50% 0.30%
07:50 EUR France Services PMI Mar 46.6 46.6
07:55 EUR Germany Services PMI Mar 50.2 50.2
08:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI Mar 50.4 50.4
08:30 GBP Services PMI Mar 53.2 53.2
09:00 EUR Eurozone PPI M/M Feb 0.40% 0.80%
09:00 EUR Eurozone PPI Y/Y Feb 1.80%
11:30 EUR ECB Meeting Accounts
11:30 USD Challenger Job Cuts Y/Y Mar 103.20%
12:30 CAD Trade Balance (CAD) Feb 2.5B 4.0B
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Mar 28) 225K 224K
12:30 USD Trade Balance (USD) Feb -110.0B -131.4B
13:45 USD Services PMI Mar F 54.3 54.3
14:00 USD ISM Services PMI Mar 53.1 53.5
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 27B 37B