Risk Sentiment Hammered by Fed's Balance Sheet Plan, Dollar Staying Firm
Action Insight Daily Report 4-7-22

Risk Sentiment Hammered by Fed's Balance Sheet Plan, Dollar Staying Firm

Markets are clearly in some risk aversion actions after Fed laid out the balance sheet runoff plan. Nikkei is leading other Asian stocks lower, after US indexes tumbled overnight. Australian Dollar is dragged down by the sentiment, followed by Kiwi and Loonie. On the other hand, Euro is recovering mildly for today. But for the week, Dollar is currently the strongest one, as supported by surging treasury yield and Fed expectations. Euro is still the weakest on dovish ECB and Ukraine uncertainty.

Technically, Aussie is apparently turning weaker today, but the selloff is not disastrous. A focus will be on 90.74 support in AUD/JPY. As long as this level holds, firstly, AUD/JPY's outlook will stay bullish for another rally through 94.29 high. Secondly, that should help floor selling in Aussie elsewhere. However, firm break of 90.74 would be a warning that the tide in Aussie is turning near term bearish.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is down -2.00%. Hong Kong HSI is down -0.85%. China Shanghai SSE is down -0.76%. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.55%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is down -0.0087 at 0.236. Overnight, DOW dropped -0.42%. S&P 500 dropped -0.97%. NASDAQ dropped -2.22%. 10-year yield rose 0.053 to 2.609.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2427; (P) 1.2462; (R1) 1.2522; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment. Another fall could still be seen with 1.2591 resistance intact. Corrective pattern from 1.2005 could have completed already. Break of 1.2401 will target 1.2286 support and then 1.2005 low. However, on the upside, break of 1.2591 will dampen this bearish case, and turn bias back to the upside for 1.2899 resistance instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:30 AUD AiG Performance of Services Index Mar 56.2 60
01:30 AUD Trade Balance (AUD) Feb 7.46B 11.70B 12.89B 11.79B
05:00 JPY Leading Economic Index Feb P 103 102.5
05:45 CHF Unemployment Rate Mar 2.20% 2.20%
06:00 EUR Germany Industrial Production M/M Feb 0.00% 2.70%
07:00 CHF Foreign Currency Reserves (CHF) Mar 938B
09:00 EUR Eurozone Retail Sales M/M Feb 0.60% 0.20%
11:30 EUR ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Apr 1) 200K 202K
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 18.0B 26B