Euro Resilient in Risk-Off Markets, Aussie Selloff Continues
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 5-9-22

Euro Resilient in Risk-Off Markets, Aussie Selloff Continues

The markets are still staying in overall risk-off mode this week so far, with selloff in stocks, gold, oil and cryptos. Commodity currencies are trading broadly lower as as result, led by Aussie. Dollar and Yen are generally firmer, but they're outshone by the surprisingly resilient Euro, and to a lesser extent Sterling.

Technically, with the addition help of extended rally in EUR/CHF, Euro is making some progresses in turning around. EUR/CAD is now in a near term rebound for 38.2% retracement of 1.4633 to 1.3383 at 1.3861. Sustained break there will raise the chance of medium term bottoming at 1.3383. Nevertheless, EUR/USD will also need to break through 1.0756 resistance to confirm the overall upside momentum in Euro. A break through 1.0470 low in EUR/USD could quickly drag EUR/CAD back to 1.3383 low instead.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is down -0.87%. Hong Kong HSI is down -2.83%. China Shanghai SSE is up 0.17%. Singapore Strait Times is down -1.32%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is up 0.0013 at 0.252. Overnight, DOW dropped -1.99%. S&P 500 dropped -3.20%. NASDAQ dropped -4.29%. 10-year yield dropped -0.044 to 3.079.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4992; (P) 1.5099; (R1) 1.5303; More...

EUR/AUD's rebound from 1.4138 resumed by breaking through 1.5053 resistance. Intraday bias is back on the upside with focus on 1.5354 cluster resistance (100% projection of 1.4318 to 1.5053 from 1.4597 at 1.5332. Rejection by this level will maintain medium term bearishness for another fall through 1.4138 low at a later stage. But firm break of 1.5332/54 will argue that the larger trend is reversing. Next target is 161.8% projection at 1.5786 first.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:01 GBP BRC Like-For-Like Retail Sales Y/Y Apr -1.70% -0.40%
23:30 JPY Overall Household Spending Y/Y Mar -2.30% -2.80% 1.10%
01:30 AUD NAB Business Confidence Apr 10 16
01:30 AUD NAB Business Conditions Apr 20 18
08:00 EUR Italy Industrial Output M/M Mar -1.40% 4%
09:00 EUR Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment May -42.5 -41
09:00 EUR Germany ZEW Current Situation May -35 -30.8
09:00 EUR Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment May -41 -43
10:00 USD NFIB Business Optimism Index Apr 92.9 93.2