Lower Inflation Expectations Weigh on NZD, Anticipation Builds for US CPI Release

Action Insight Daily Report 5-13-24

Lower Inflation Expectations Weigh on NZD, Anticipation Builds for US CPI Release

New Zealand Dollar dips mildly as the new week began on a quiet note. This comes in wake of New Zealand weaker services data and the decline in short-term inflation expectations, which may provide some relief to RBNZ about the persistence of high inflation. However, the key question remains on the pace at which inflation will decline. Slower-than-expected disinflation ahead would still limited scope for RBNZ to initiate rate cuts within this year.

Elsewhere in the currency markets, Australian and Canadian Dollars also softened, trailing Kiwi as the next weakest. In contrast, Euro and Sterling appeared stronger, followed by relatively steady Dollar, while Swiss Franc is mixed. But as side from the Aussie and Kiwi, most major currencies remained within Friday's range against each other...

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3641; (P) 1.3667; (R1) 1.3698; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 1.3761 resistance will argue that correction from 1.3845 has already completed. Intraday bias will be back to the upside to resume larger rally from 1.3176 through 1.3845. However, sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 1.3630) will argue that whole rise from 1.3176 has completed already, and bring deeper fall to 1.3477 support next.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

NZ First Impressions: RBNZ Survey of Expectations, Q2 2024

EUR/USD Could Extend Gains Unless This Support Fails

Silver and Gold Recovered Quickly. What's Next?

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast

The Weekly Bottom Line: Canada – Jobs Surge Delays Rate Cut Bets

Weekly Economic & Financial Commentary: The Calm Before the Storm

U.S. Inflation in April to Look Softer After Upside Surprises

Week Ahead – US Inflation Numbers to Shake Fed Rate Cut Bets

Cliff Notes: Staying the Course

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
alt
Bank of England Closing In On Rate Cuts
alt
RBA on Gold and Remains Vigilant to the Upside
alt
Sanctions Reach Won't Disrupt The Dollar's Reserve Currency Status
alt
Worst of Both Worlds: Are the Risks of Stagflation Elevated? Part III
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:30 NZD Business NZ PMI Apr 48.9 47.1 46.8
23:30 JPY Overall Household Spending Y/Y Mar -1.20% -2.40% -0.50%
23:50 JPY Current Account (JPY) Mar 2.01T 2.05T 1.37T
05:00 JPY Eco Watchers Survey: Current Apr 47.4 49.8
06:00 GBP GDP M/M Mar 0.40% 0.10% 0.10% 0.20%
06:00 GBP GDP Q/Q Q1 P 0.60% 0.40% -0.30%
06:00 GBP Manufacturing Production M/M Mar 0.30% -0.50% 1.20%
06:00 GBP Manufacturing Production Y/Y Mar 2.30% 1.80% 2.70% 2.60%
06:00 GBP Industrial Production M/M Mar 0.20% -0.50% 1.10% 1.00%
06:00 GBP Industrial Production Y/Y Mar 0.50% 0.30% 1.40% 1.00%
06:00 GBP Goods Trade Balance (GBP) Mar -14.0B -14.5B -14.2B -14.1B
08:00 EUR Italy Industrial Output M/M Mar -0.50% 0.30% 0.10% 0.00%
11:40 GBP NIESR GDP Estimate (3M) Apr 0.70% 0.40%
12:30 CAD Net Change in Employment Apr 90.4K 17.5K -2.2K
12:30 CAD Unemployment Rate Apr 6.10% 6.20% 6.10%
14:00 USD Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index May P 77 77.2