Sentiment Further Stabilized as Focus Turns to US Retail Sales
Action Insight Daily Report 5-14-21

Sentiment Further Stabilized as Focus Turns to US Retail Sales

The forex markets are steady in Asian session today as sentiment stabilized, following strong rebound in US stocks overnight. Dollar is currently the second strongest for the week, just next to Sterling. But no key level was taken out with the rebound in the last few days. The greenback would need to look into retail sales data today to draw some more strength. Meanwhile, Aussie and Kiwi are currently the worst performing ones for the week.

Technically, Canadian Dollar appears to be losing upside momentum after BoC governor warned of it's strength. Focus in USD/CAD is back on 1.2265 resistance after it drew support from 1.2061 key long term support and recovered. Break of 1.2265 will indicate short term bottoming. Similarly, EUR/CAD lost momentum just ahead of 1.4536 fibonacci projection level. Break of 1.4785 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and bring rebound back towards 1.5191 resistance.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is up 2.16%. Hong Kong HSI is up 0.95%. China Shanghai SSE is up 1.21%. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.29%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is down -0.0088 at 0.087. Overnight, DOW rose 1.29%. S&P 500 rose 1.22%. NASDAQ rose 0.72%. 10-year yield dropped -0.027 to 1.668.

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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.38; (P) 153.86; (R1) 154.25; More...

A temporary top is formed at 154.40 and intraday bias is turned neutral for the moment. Some consolidations could be seen in GBP/JPY but outlook stays bullish as long as 151.24 support holds. Above 154.40 will resume the larger up trend 156.59 key resistance, and then 61.8% projection of 133.03 to 153.39 from 149.03 at 161.61. However, break of 151.24 will suggest that deeper correction is underway, and turn bias back to the downside for 149.03 support first.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:30 NZD BusinessNZ Manufacturing Index Apr 58.4 63.6
23:50 JPY Money Supply M2+CD Y/Y Apr 9.20% 9.40% 9.50% 9.40%
11:30 EUR ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts
12:30 CAD Manufacturing Sales M/M Mar 3.50% -1.60%
12:30 CAD Wholesale Sales M/M Mar 1.00% -0.70%
12:30 USD Retail Sales M/M Apr 0.50% 9.70%
12:30 USD Retail Sales ex Autos M/M Apr 0.90% 8.40%
12:30 USD Import Price Index M/M Apr 0.60% 1.20%
13:15 USD Industrial Production M/M Apr 0.90% 1.40%
13:15 USD Capacity Utilization Apr 75.20% 74.40%
14:00 USD Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index May P 89.5 88.3
14:00 USD Business Inventories Mar 0.30% 0.50%