Euro and Sterling Rebound Strongly, Dollar and Yen Turn Weaker
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 5-17-22

Euro and Sterling Rebound Strongly, Dollar and Yen Turn Weaker

Yen and Dollar falls broadly today as risk-on sentiment is gaining steam. European majors are making a strong come back too. Sterling is boosted by upbeat job market data. Euro is also lifted after a ECB policymaker threw out the idea of a 50bps rate hike. Commodity currencies are mixed for the moment, slightly on the soft side.

Technically, EUR/USD's rebound raises the chance of successfully defending 2017 low. Immediate focus is now on 1.0641 resistance. Firm break there will at least confirm short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound. If that happens, focus will also be on 1.2637 resistance in GBP/USD and 0.9871 support in USD/CHF. Break of these levels will also add to the case of extended pull back in Dollar.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.79%. DAX is up 1.44%. CAC is up 1.17%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.101 at 1.040. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 0.42%. Hong Kong HSI rose 3.27%. China Shanghai SSE rose 0.65%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.34%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0010 to 0.245.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0402; (P) 1.0422 (R1) 1.0455; More...

EUR/USD is still limited below 1.0641 resistance and intraday bias stays neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 1.0641 resistance will confirm short term bottoming at 1.0348, ahead of 1.0339 long term support. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.0805 support turned resistance. On the downside, however, decisive break of 1.0339 will carry larger bearish implication and target 161.8% projection of 1.1494 to 1.0805 from 1.1184 at 1.0069.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
01:30 AUD RBA Meeting Minutes
04:30 JPY Tertiary Industry Index M/M Mar 1.30% 1.20% -1.30%
06:00 GBP Claimant Count Change Apr -56.9K -42.3K -46.9K
06:00 GBP ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) Mar 3.70% 3.80% 3.80%
06:00 GBP Average Earnings Including Bonus 3M/Y Mar 7.00% 5.40% 5.40% 5.60%
06:00 GBP Average Earnings Excluding Bonus 3M/Y Mar 4.20% 4.20% 4.00% 4.10%
08:00 EUR Italy Trade Balance (EUR) Mar -0.08B 0.79B -1.66B -1.77B
09:00 EUR Eurozone GDP Q/Q Q1 P 0.30% 0.20% 0.20%
09:00 EUR Eurozone Employment Change Q/Q Q1 P 0.50% 0.50% 0.50%
12:30 USD Retail Sales M/M Apr 0.90% 1.10% 0.50%
12:30 USD Retail Sales ex Autos M/M Apr 0.60% 0.30% 1.10%
13:15 USD Industrial Production M/M Apr 0.40% 0.90%
13:15 USD Capacity Utilization Apr 78.60% 78.30%
14:00 USD Business Inventories Mar 1.80% 1.50%
14:00 USD NAHB Housing Market Index May 76 77