Dollar Holding On to Near Term Support, UK and CA CPI Featured
Action Insight Daily Report 5-18-22

Dollar Holding On to Near Term Support, UK and CA CPI Featured

The forex markets are engaging in sideway trading in very tight range in Asian session. Dollar and Yen remain the weaker ones for the week. But so far, there is not following selling to push them through near term support level yet. Overall risk sentiment is crucial in determining the next move. While US stocks staged a strong rebound overnight, Asian markets are just mixed, with softness seen in Hong Kong and China. The lack of committed risk buying also drags down Aussie and Kiwi a little bit.

Technically, firstly, focus will stay on some near term levels in Dollar pairs, including 1.0641 resistance in EUR/USD, 1.2637 resistance in GBP/USD and 0.9871 support in USD/CHF. Firm break of these level will confirm short term topping in the greenback, and turn it into a "longer-lasting" near term correction phase. At the same time, attention will also be on some sterling pairs, including 0.8365 support in EUR/GBP and 162.16 resistance in GBP/JPY. Break of these two levels (in reaction to CPI data?) will push the Pound for a stronger near term rebound at least.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is up 0.66%. Hong Kong HSI is down -0.32%. China Shanghai SSE is down -0.21%. Singapore Strait Times is up 0.89%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is up 0.0031 at 0.248. Overnight, DOW rose 1.34%. S&P 500 rose 2.02%. NASDAQ rose 2.76%. 10-year yield rose 0.091 to 2.968.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2791; (P) 1.2825; (R1) 1.2843; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral and outlook is unchanged. Pull back from 1.3075 could extend lower, but further rise is in favor with 1.2712 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.3075 will resume the rise from 1.2401. Sustained trading above 1.3022 fibonacci level will carry larger bullish implications. Next target will be 100% projection of 1.2005 to 1.2947 from 1.2401 at 1.3343. On the downside, however, break of 1.2712 support will indicate rejection by 1.3022 key fibonacci resistance, and bring deeper decline back to 1.2401 support.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY GDP Q/Q Q1 P -0.20% -0.40% 1.10%
23:50 JPY GDP Deflator Y/Y Q1 P -0.40% -1.20% -1.30% 1.10%
00:30 AUD Westpac Leading Index M/M Apr -0.20% 0.30%
00:30 AUD Wage Price Index Q/Q Q1 0.70% 0.80% 0.70%
04:30 JPY Industrial Production M/M Mar F 0.30% 0.30% 0.30%
06:00 GBP CPI M/M Apr 2.60% 1.10%
06:00 GBP CPI Y/Y Apr 9.10% 7.00%
06:00 GBP Core CPI Y/Y Apr 6.20% 5.70%
06:00 GBP RPI M/M Apr 0.90% 1.00%
06:00 GBP RPI Y/Y Apr 11.10% 9.00%
06:00 GBP PPI Input M/M Apr 2.60% 5.20%
06:00 GBP PPI Input Y/Y Apr 20.70% 19.20%
06:00 GBP PPI Output M/M Apr 1.60% 2.00%
06:00 GBP PPI Output Y/Y Apr 12.50% 11.90%
06:00 GBP PPI Core Output M/M Apr 1.60% 2.00%
06:00 GBP PPI Core Output Y/Y Apr 12.70% 12.00%
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Y/Y Apr F 7.50% 7.50%
09:00 EUR Eurozone Core CPI Y/Y Apr F 3.50% 3.50%
12:30 CAD CPI M/M Apr 0.70% 1.40%
12:30 CAD CPI Y/Y Apr 6.30% 6.70%
12:30 CAD CPI Common Y/Y Apr 2.90% 2.80%
12:30 CAD CPI Median Y/Y Apr 3.90% 3.80%
12:30 CAD CPI Trimmed Y/Y Apr 4.70% 4.70%
12:30 USD Building Permits Apr 1.83M 1.87M
12:30 USD Housing Starts Apr 1.77M 1.79M
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories 2.1M 8.5M